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Championship
Referee: M Salisbury
Burnley
S S T U S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Burnley Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Championship · 39/39 matches
Win Ø 62%
64%
59%
Points per game
2,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
51%
41%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
41%
Average goals
2,7
2,4
Scored
1,9
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
16 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 2
4 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Burnley 1. · Sheffield United 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Burnley 39 25 12 2 +46 87
2 Sheffield United 39 23 7 9 +27 76
3 Middlesbrough 40 20 8 12 +25 68
4 Luton 38 19 11 8 +15 68
5 Millwall 41 17 11 13 +7 62
6 Blackburn 40 19 5 16 -2 62
7 Preston 41 17 11 13 -4 62
8 Norwich 41 17 10 14 +12 61
9 West Brom 40 15 12 13 +6 57
10 Sunderland 39 15 11 13 +8 56
11 Watford 41 14 14 13 +2 56
12 Coventry 39 14 13 12 +5 55
13 Bristol City 41 13 14 14 +0 53
14 Swansea 41 14 11 16 -3 53
15 Stoke 41 14 10 17 +6 52
16 Hull 41 13 13 15 -9 52
17 Birmingham 41 13 11 17 -7 50
18 Reading 41 13 8 20 -19 47
19 Rotherham 40 10 15 15 -8 45
20 Huddersfield 41 11 10 20 -18 43
21 QPR 41 11 10 20 -24 43
22 Cardiff 40 11 9 20 -13 42
23 Wigan 41 8 13 20 -28 37
24 Blackpool 41 8 11 22 -24 35

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Burnley Sheffield United
Taylor Harwood-Bellis 🟨
10′
17′
🟥 Wes Foderingham
19′
🔁 A. Davies
↦ J. Robinson
28′
🟨 John Egan
Half-time 0–0
B. Manuel 🔁
↦ L. Foster
46′
J. Guðmunds­son 🔁
↦ J. Cork
46′
59′
🟨 Jayden Bogle
1–0 J. Guðmunds­son
N. Tella
60′
C. Taylor 🔁
↦ T. Harwood-Bellis
68′
2–0 J. Guðmunds­son
70′
72′
🟨 Iliman Ndiaye
73′
🔁 B. Sharp
↦ I. Ndiaye
73′
🔁 W. Osula
↦ O. McBurnie
73′
🔁 J. Fleck
↦ T. Doyle
S. Bastien 🔁
↦ J. Brownhill
77′
82′
🔁 C. Basham
↦ S. Berge
M. Obafemi 🔁
↦ N. Tella
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Burnley

4-3-3
49 A. Murić G
14 C. Roberts D
5 T. Harwood-Bellis D
36 J. Beyer D
29 I. Maatsen D
24 J. Cullen M
4 J. Cork M
8 J. Brownhill M
23 N. Tella F
10 A. Barnes F
12 L. Foster F
Bench (7)
17 B. Manuel
7 J. Guðmunds­son
3 C. Taylor
26 S. Bastien
45 M. Obafemi
22 Vitinho
15 B. Peacock-Farrell

Coach: V. Kompany

Sheffield United

3-5-2
18 W. Foderingham G
15 A. Ahmedhodžić D
12 J. Egan D
19 J. Robinson D
20 J. Bogle M
8 S. Berge M
16 O. Norwood M
22 T. Doyle M
2 G. Baldock M
9 O. McBurnie F
29 I. Ndiaye F
Bench (7)
1 A. Davies
10 B. Sharp
32 W. Osula
4 J. Fleck
6 C. Basham
26 C. Clark
28 J. McAtee

Coach: P. Heckingbottom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,16
U
3,41
B
3,36
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,77
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Salisbury · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.