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Copa del Rey
Referee: Eder Mallo
Barakaldo
U S
1–2
Full-time
Ferrol
T T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barakaldo Ferrol
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
2,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
0,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,2
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
3,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%
18 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 5
9 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 3
16 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barakaldo 37. · Ferrol 38. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Elche 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Santander 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Almeria 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Ourense CF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Eldense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Zaragoza 2 1 1 0 +4 4
18 Girona 2 1 1 0 +4 4
19 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +3 4
20 Granada 2 1 1 0 +2 4
21 Tenerife 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 Estepona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
23 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
24 Zamora 2 1 1 0 +1 4
25 Orihuela 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 UD Logroñés 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
28 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
29 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
30 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +4 3
31 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 1 0 1 +3 3
32 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
33 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
34 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
36 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
37 Barakaldo 1 1 0 0 +2 3
38 Ferrol 1 1 0 0 +2 3
39 Cultural Leonesa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
40 Marbella 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Andorra 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Cartagena 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Castellon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
46 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Europa Fc 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Gimnastic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Cacereño 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Ejea 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Salamanca UDS 2 1 0 1 -6 3
60 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Ponferradina 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
72 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barakaldo Ferrol
1–0 Luis Bilbao ⚽
19′
Adrian Revilla 🟨
21′
26′
⚽ Bebé 1–1
Chiki
Urki Txoperena 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
Beñat de Jesús 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 Josep Señé
↦ Luis Perea
46′
🔁 Álvaro Sanz
↦ Aitor Gelardo
61′
🔁 Nacho Sánchez
↦ Manu Vallejo
66′
🟨 Julián Delmás
Borja Garcia 🟨
69′
Julen Huidobro 🔁
↦ Jesús
70′
70′
🔁 Aitor Buñuel
↦ Julián Delmás
Maroan Sannadi 🔁
↦ Urki Txoperena
71′
79′
🔁 Josué Dorrio
↦ Álex López
Ekaitz Molina Jaen 🟨
80′
Aimar Vicandi 🔁
↦ Luis Bilbao
82′
Unai Naveira 🔁
↦ Ekaitz Molina
82′
86′
⚽ Nacho Sánchez 1–2
Josep Señé
Unai Buján 🔁
↦ Kepa Uriarte
88′
90′
🟨 Josep Señé
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Barakaldo

4-4-2
1 Jon Tena G
2 Beñat de Jesús D
15 Aritz Muguruza D
3 Borja García D
16 Oier López D
23 Luis Bilbao M
5 Ekaitz Molina M
14 Urki Txoperena M
20 Jesús M
21 Kepa Uriarte F
11 Adrián Revilla F
Bench (11)
8 Julen Huidobro
9 Maroan Sannadi
17 Aimar Vicandi
6 Unai Naveira
22 Unai Buján
7 Iker Pedernales
10 Imanol Torre
12 Markel Artetxe
19 Isuskiza
13 Unai Pérez
4 A. Jelbat

Coach: Imanol de la Sota

Ferrol

4-1-4-1
13 Yoel Rodríguez G
2 Julián Delmás D
4 A. Puric D
5 Naldo D
15 David Castro D
24 Luis Perea M
14 Aitor Gelardo M
19 Manu Vallejo M
8 Álex López M
12 Bebé M
7 Chiki F
Bench (7)
10 Josep Señé
6 Álvaro Sanz
11 Nacho Sánchez
22 Aitor Buñuel
17 Josué Dorrio
25 Jesús Ruiz
1 Emilio Bernad

Coach: Cristóbal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Eder Mallo · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.