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LaLiga2

Lugo

S U U T T

1–0

Full-time

Cartagena

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Cartagena

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 33%

24%

41%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

35%

56%

Both score Ø 64%

71%

56%

Average goals

2,4

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 4

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 16. · Cartagena 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	34	19	10	5	+14	67
2	Valladolid	34	19	7	8	+20	64
3	Almeria	34	19	6	9	+22	63
4	Girona	34	17	7	10	+16	58
5	Tenerife	34	16	8	10	+15	56
6	Oviedo	34	12	15	7	+10	51
7	Ponferradina	34	13	12	9	+4	51
8	Las Palmas	34	13	11	10	+3	50
9	Burgos	34	13	7	14	+4	46
10	Cartagena	34	14	4	16	-2	46
11	Huesca	34	11	12	11	+8	45
12	Leganes	34	11	12	11	+0	45
13	Ibiza	34	10	14	10	-2	44
14	Zaragoza	34	9	17	8	-5	44
15	Mirandes	34	12	7	15	-6	43
16	Lugo	34	8	18	8	-1	42
17	Sp Gijon	34	10	10	14	-2	40
18	Malaga	34	9	10	15	-21	37
19	Amorebieta	34	5	16	13	-13	31
20	Sociedad B	34	7	10	17	-14	31
21	Fuenlabrada	34	5	14	15	-18	29
22	Alcorcon	34	4	9	21	-32	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	17	12	4	1	+14	40
2	Valladolid	17	12	3	2	+21	39
3	Girona	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Almeria	17	11	3	3	+16	36
5	Burgos	17	9	5	3	+16	32
6	Oviedo	17	8	7	2	+14	31
7	Cartagena	17	10	1	6	+12	31
8	Las Palmas	17	8	5	4	+7	29
9	Mirandes	17	9	2	6	+5	29
10	Tenerife	17	8	4	5	+10	28
11	Ponferradina	17	7	7	3	+9	28
12	Lugo	16	7	7	2	+5	28
13	Leganes	17	6	8	3	+5	26
14	Malaga	17	7	5	5	-3	26
15	Huesca	18	6	7	5	+5	25
16	Sp Gijon	17	7	3	7	+2	24
17	Zaragoza	17	5	9	3	+2	24
18	Ibiza	17	5	8	4	+4	23
19	Fuenlabrada	17	4	9	4	+0	21
20	Amorebieta	17	4	8	5	+0	20
21	Sociedad B	17	3	4	10	-10	13
22	Alcorcon	16	2	6	8	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	17	8	4	5	+5	28
2	Almeria	17	8	3	6	+6	27
3	Eibar	17	7	6	4	+0	27
4	Valladolid	17	7	4	6	-1	25
5	Ponferradina	17	6	5	6	-5	23
6	Girona	16	6	4	6	-1	22
7	Las Palmas	17	5	6	6	-4	21
8	Ibiza	17	5	6	6	-6	21
9	Huesca	16	5	5	6	+3	20
10	Oviedo	17	4	8	5	-4	20
11	Zaragoza	17	4	8	5	-7	20
12	Leganes	17	5	4	8	-5	19
13	Sociedad B	17	4	6	7	-4	18
14	Sp Gijon	17	3	7	7	-4	16
15	Cartagena	17	4	3	10	-14	15
16	Lugo	18	1	11	6	-6	14
17	Mirandes	17	3	5	9	-11	14
18	Burgos	17	4	2	11	-12	14
19	Amorebieta	17	1	8	8	-13	11
20	Malaga	17	2	5	10	-18	11
21	Alcorcon	18	2	3	13	-18	9
22	Fuenlabrada	17	1	5	11	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.