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LaLiga2

Lugo

U U U U S

2–1

Full-time

Almeria

U U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Almeria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,7

This season — LaLiga2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

23%

64%

Points per game

1,2

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

36%

45%

Both score Ø 62%

73%

50%

Average goals

2,4

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

6 Shots 22

4 Shots on target 8

0 Corners 12

12 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugo 15. · Almeria 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	22	14	4	4	+23	46
2	Valladolid	23	13	4	6	+11	43
3	Eibar	23	12	7	4	+8	43
4	Tenerife	23	11	6	6	+11	39
5	Ponferradina	23	10	8	5	+8	38
6	Girona	23	11	4	8	+6	37
7	Las Palmas	23	9	8	6	+3	35
8	Oviedo	23	7	12	4	+6	33
9	Cartagena	23	10	3	10	-3	33
10	Ibiza	23	7	10	6	+1	31
11	Malaga	23	8	7	8	-7	31
12	Huesca	23	7	9	7	+4	30
13	Burgos	23	8	5	10	-1	29
14	Sp Gijon	23	7	8	8	-3	29
15	Lugo	22	5	12	5	+1	27
16	Zaragoza	23	5	12	6	-6	27
17	Leganes	23	6	8	9	-1	26
18	Mirandes	23	7	5	11	-5	26
19	Amorebieta	23	3	12	8	-7	21
20	Fuenlabrada	23	3	11	9	-9	20
21	Sociedad B	23	4	6	13	-12	18
22	Alcorcon	23	2	5	16	-28	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Valladolid	12	9	2	1	+14	29
2	Almeria	11	8	2	1	+14	26
3	Eibar	11	8	2	1	+9	26
4	Las Palmas	12	7	3	2	+9	24
5	Malaga	12	7	3	2	+5	24
6	Ponferradina	12	6	5	1	+10	23
7	Girona	12	7	2	3	+9	23
8	Cartagena	11	7	1	3	+7	22
9	Burgos	11	6	3	2	+10	21
10	Oviedo	12	5	6	1	+7	21
11	Tenerife	11	6	2	3	+8	20
12	Sp Gijon	11	5	3	3	+2	18
13	Lugo	11	4	5	2	+2	17
14	Mirandes	12	5	2	5	+1	17
15	Ibiza	12	3	5	4	+2	14
16	Huesca	12	3	5	4	+0	14
17	Fuenlabrada	12	2	7	3	-1	13
18	Amorebieta	11	2	6	3	+0	12
19	Leganes	11	2	6	3	+0	12
20	Zaragoza	11	2	6	3	-2	12
21	Alcorcon	11	1	4	6	-12	7
22	Sociedad B	11	1	3	7	-8	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Almeria	11	6	2	3	+9	20
2	Tenerife	12	5	4	3	+3	19
3	Eibar	12	4	5	3	-1	17
4	Ibiza	11	4	5	2	-1	17
5	Huesca	11	4	4	3	+4	16
6	Ponferradina	11	4	3	4	-2	15
7	Zaragoza	12	3	6	3	-4	15
8	Leganes	12	4	2	6	-1	14
9	Valladolid	11	4	2	5	-3	14
10	Girona	11	4	2	5	-3	14
11	Oviedo	11	2	6	3	-1	12
12	Sociedad B	12	3	3	6	-4	12
13	Sp Gijon	12	2	5	5	-5	11
14	Las Palmas	11	2	5	4	-6	11
15	Cartagena	12	3	2	7	-10	11
16	Lugo	11	1	7	3	-1	10
17	Mirandes	11	2	3	6	-6	9
18	Amorebieta	12	1	6	5	-7	9
19	Burgos	12	2	2	8	-11	8
20	Fuenlabrada	11	1	4	6	-8	7
21	Malaga	11	1	4	6	-12	7
22	Alcorcon	12	1	1	10	-16	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.