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LaLiga2
Lugo
T U T T U
0–4
Full-time
Almeria
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugo Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — LaLiga2 · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 31%
19%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
38%
52%
Both score Ø 62%
62%
62%
Average goals
2,4
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

9 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 7
7 Corners 7
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lugo 18. · Almeria 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cadiz 22 13 5 4 +12 44
2 Almeria 21 9 9 3 +13 36
3 Huesca 21 11 2 8 +7 35
4 Fuenlabrada 22 9 8 5 +5 35
5 Zaragoza 21 9 6 6 +7 33
6 Las Palmas 22 9 6 7 +2 33
7 Numancia 21 8 8 5 +5 32
8 Ponferradina 22 7 10 5 +5 31
9 Elche 21 8 7 6 +4 31
10 Girona 21 9 4 8 +1 31
11 Mirandes 21 8 7 6 -1 31
12 Alcorcon 22 6 10 6 -1 28
13 Albacete 20 8 3 9 -7 27
14 Vallecano 20 5 10 5 +3 25
15 Sp Gijon 21 6 7 8 -1 25
16 Malaga 21 4 10 7 -2 22
17 Oviedo 21 5 7 9 -6 22
18 Lugo 21 4 10 7 -8 22
19 Extremadura UD 22 5 7 10 -9 22
20 Tenerife 21 4 7 10 -6 19
21 Santander 21 2 12 7 -5 18
22 La Coruna 21 2 9 10 -18 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Oct -19 Almeria – Lugo 0–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,21
U
3,09
B ✓
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.