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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
Juve Stabia
S S S U T
2–0
Full-time
Catanzaro
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Juve Stabia Catanzaro
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
4,2
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Serie B · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 34%
38%
29%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
56%
59%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

50% Possession 50%
14 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
4 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 9
4 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Juve Stabia 5. · Catanzaro 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 34 24 6 4 +41 78
2 Pisa 34 20 7 7 +24 67
3 Spezia 34 15 15 4 +24 60
4 Cremonese 34 15 11 8 +18 56
5 Juve Stabia 34 13 11 10 +0 50
6 Palermo 34 13 9 12 +9 48
7 Catanzaro 34 10 18 6 +6 48
8 Bari 34 9 17 8 +3 44
9 Modena 34 10 14 10 +1 44
10 Cesena 34 11 11 12 -1 44
11 Carrarese 34 10 11 13 -8 41
12 Frosinone 34 8 15 11 -11 39
13 Sudtirol 34 10 8 16 -9 38
14 Mantova 34 8 13 13 -11 37
15 Salernitana 34 9 9 16 -11 36
16 Cittadella 34 9 9 16 -22 36
17 Brescia 34 7 14 13 -8 35
18 Sampdoria 34 7 14 13 -12 35
19 Reggiana 34 8 11 15 -12 35
20 Cosenza 34 6 13 15 -21 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Juve Stabia Catanzaro
8′
🟨 Stefano Scognamillo
23′
🟨 Matias Antonini
1–0 N. Mosti
N. Fortini
25′
31′
🟨 Filippo Pittarello
Lorenzo Sgarbi ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
39′
2–0 L. Candellone
41′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Petriccione
↦ M. Coulibaly
46′
🔁 M. Compagnon
↦ S. Scognamillo
M. Varnier 🔁
↦ P. Peda
61′
61′
🔁 R. Ilie
↦ S. Pontisso
M. Meli 🔁
↦ L. Sgarbi
70′
K. Piscopo 🔁
↦ G. Leone
70′
79′
🔁 D. Seck
↦ G. Quagliata
79′
🔁 T. Biasci
↦ M. Pompetti
A. Louati 🔁
↦ C. Pierobon
82′
F. Maistro 🔁
↦ N. Mosti
83′
Marco Varnier 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Juve Stabia

3-4-1-2
20 D. Thiam G
4 M. Ruggero D
45 P. Peda D
6 M. Bellich D
15 R. Floriani Mussolini M
55 G. Leone M
10 C. Pierobon M
29 N. Fortini M
98 N. Mosti F
27 L. Candellone F
18 L. Sgarbi F
Bench (12)
24 M. Varnier
14 M. Meli
11 K. Piscopo
80 A. Louati
37 F. Maistro
25 A. Gerbo
9 A. Adorante
13 M. Baldi
28 C. Andreoni
2 D. Quaranta
1 K. Matošević
3 Y. Rocchetti

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Catanzaro

3-5-2
22 M. Pigliacelli G
14 S. Scognamillo D
4 Matias Antonini D
6 F. Bonini D
84 T. Cassandro M
80 M. Coulibaly M
21 M. Pompetti M
20 S. Pontisso M
3 G. Quagliata M
9 P. Iemmello F
90 F. Pittarello F
Bench (11)
10 J. Petriccione
7 M. Compagnon
8 R. Ilie
29 D. Seck
28 T. Biasci
45 N. Buso
92 M. Šitum
61 F. Maiolo
25 L. Gelmi
82 C. Corradi
19 A. La Mantia

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,47
B
3,34
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,83
U2,5 ✓
1,94
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.