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Serie B

Referee: L Zufferli

Carrarese

T U S U U

1–0

Full-time

Sampdoria

U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Sampdoria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Serie B · 33/33 matches

Win Ø 24%

27%

21%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

45%

42%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,0

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

49% Possession 51%

9 Shots 15

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

9 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 12. · Sampdoria 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	33	23	6	4	+39	75
2	Pisa	33	19	7	7	+23	64
3	Spezia	34	15	15	4	+24	60
4	Cremonese	33	14	11	8	+16	53
5	Juve Stabia	33	13	11	9	+2	50
6	Catanzaro	33	10	18	5	+8	48
7	Palermo	33	12	9	12	+7	45
8	Bari	33	9	17	7	+4	44
9	Cesena	33	11	11	11	+1	44
10	Modena	33	9	14	10	+0	41
11	Frosinone	34	8	15	11	-11	39
12	Carrarese	33	9	11	13	-9	38
13	Mantova	33	8	13	12	-9	37
14	Cittadella	33	9	9	15	-21	36
15	Brescia	33	7	14	12	-7	35
16	Sudtirol	33	9	8	16	-11	35
17	Sampdoria	33	7	14	12	-11	35
18	Salernitana	33	8	9	16	-13	33
19	Reggiana	33	7	11	15	-13	32
20	Cosenza	33	6	13	14	-19	31

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	16	13	2	1	+27	41
2	Pisa	16	11	3	2	+17	36
3	Spezia	16	10	4	2	+16	34
4	Juve Stabia	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Catanzaro	17	7	8	2	+12	29
6	Carrarese	17	8	5	4	+4	29
7	Cesena	17	7	7	3	+7	28
8	Bari	17	6	9	2	+5	27
9	Palermo	16	7	4	5	+6	25
10	Cremonese	17	6	7	4	+5	25
11	Modena	16	6	7	3	+5	25
12	Salernitana	17	7	4	6	+1	25
13	Mantova	16	6	6	4	+1	24
14	Sampdoria	17	5	6	6	-3	21
15	Frosinone	18	4	9	5	-6	21
16	Cosenza	17	4	7	6	-7	19
17	Reggiana	17	4	6	7	-4	18
18	Sudtirol	16	4	6	6	-5	18
19	Brescia	16	3	8	5	-1	17
20	Cittadella	16	2	7	7	-10	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	17	10	4	3	+12	34
2	Cremonese	16	8	4	4	+11	28
3	Pisa	17	8	4	5	+6	28
4	Spezia	18	5	11	2	+8	26
5	Cittadella	17	7	2	8	-11	23
6	Palermo	17	5	5	7	+1	20
7	Juve Stabia	17	4	8	5	-4	20
8	Catanzaro	16	3	10	3	-4	19
9	Frosinone	16	4	6	6	-5	18
10	Brescia	17	4	6	7	-6	18
11	Bari	16	3	8	5	-1	17
12	Sudtirol	17	5	2	10	-6	17
13	Modena	17	3	7	7	-5	16
14	Cesena	16	4	4	8	-6	16
15	Sampdoria	16	2	8	6	-8	14
16	Reggiana	16	3	5	8	-9	14
17	Mantova	17	2	7	8	-10	13
18	Cosenza	16	2	6	8	-12	12
19	Carrarese	16	1	6	9	-13	9
20	Salernitana	16	1	5	10	-14	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.