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Serie B

Referee: L Marinelli

Parma

S S U U S

2–1

Full-time

Brescia

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 47%

61%

32%

Points per game

2,1

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

57%

25%

Both score Ø 57%

64%

50%

Average goals

2,9

2,1

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%

14 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Parma 1. · Brescia 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	28	17	8	3	+25	59
2	Cremonese	28	15	8	5	+18	53
3	Como	28	15	7	6	+9	52
4	Venezia	28	15	6	7	+16	51
5	Catanzaro	28	14	6	8	+9	48
6	Palermo	28	13	7	8	+13	46
7	Brescia	28	9	11	8	+3	38
8	Modena	28	8	12	8	-4	36
9	Sampdoria	28	10	6	12	-5	36
10	Cittadella	28	10	6	12	-5	36
11	Sudtirol	28	9	8	11	-2	35
12	Pisa	28	8	10	10	-1	34
13	Bari	28	7	13	8	-5	34
14	Cosenza	28	8	9	11	-1	33
15	Reggiana	28	6	15	7	-3	33
16	Ternana	28	7	8	13	-5	29
17	Ascoli	28	6	10	12	-6	28
18	Spezia	28	5	12	11	-15	27
19	FeralpiSalo	28	6	6	16	-15	24
20	Lecco	28	5	6	17	-26	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	14	8	6	0	+12	30
2	Venezia	14	9	3	2	+11	30
3	Como	14	8	4	2	+7	28
4	Catanzaro	14	8	3	3	+9	27
5	Palermo	14	8	1	5	+10	25
6	Cremonese	14	6	5	3	+8	23
7	Cittadella	15	7	2	6	+3	23
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+2	22
9	Brescia	14	5	5	4	+2	20
10	Modena	14	5	4	5	+0	19
11	Sudtirol	14	5	3	6	-1	18
12	Cosenza	14	4	4	6	+2	16
13	Ascoli	14	3	6	5	+0	15
14	Pisa	14	3	6	5	-1	15
15	Ternana	15	3	6	6	-1	15
16	Reggiana	14	2	9	3	-3	15
17	Sampdoria	14	4	3	7	-4	15
18	Spezia	13	2	6	5	-3	12
19	FeralpiSalo	14	3	3	8	-4	12
20	Lecco	13	3	1	9	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	14	9	3	2	+10	30
2	Parma	14	9	2	3	+13	29
3	Como	14	7	3	4	+2	24
4	Venezia	14	6	3	5	+5	21
5	Palermo	14	5	6	3	+3	21
6	Catanzaro	14	6	3	5	+0	21
7	Sampdoria	14	6	3	5	-1	21
8	Pisa	14	5	4	5	+0	19
9	Brescia	14	4	6	4	+1	18
10	Reggiana	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Sudtirol	14	4	5	5	-1	17
12	Cosenza	14	4	5	5	-3	17
13	Modena	14	3	8	3	-4	17
14	Spezia	15	3	6	6	-12	15
15	Ternana	13	4	2	7	-4	14
16	Ascoli	14	3	4	7	-6	13
17	Cittadella	13	3	4	6	-8	13
18	Bari	14	2	6	6	-7	12
19	FeralpiSalo	14	3	3	8	-11	12
20	Lecco	15	2	5	8	-14	11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.