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Serie B

Spezia

S U S S S

3–2

Full-time

Cremonese

T U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spezia Cremonese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,3

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 32%

41%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

45%

23%

Both score Ø 45%

45%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 10

10 Shots on target 3

5 Corners 2

11 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spezia 6. · Cremonese 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	23	16	6	1	+27	54
2	Crotone	23	11	4	8	+8	37
3	Frosinone	23	10	7	6	+8	37
4	Salernitana	23	10	6	7	+5	36
5	Pordenone	23	10	6	7	+1	36
6	Spezia	22	9	7	6	+7	34
7	Virtus Entella	23	9	7	7	+4	34
8	Cittadella	23	9	6	8	+0	33
9	Perugia	23	9	6	8	-4	33
10	Pescara	23	9	5	9	+3	32
11	Chievo	23	7	10	6	+3	31
12	Ascoli	23	9	4	10	+1	31
13	Pisa	23	7	9	7	+1	30
14	Empoli	23	7	9	7	-3	30
15	Juve Stabia	23	8	5	10	-7	29
16	Venezia	23	6	9	8	-4	27
17	Cremonese	22	5	8	9	-9	23
18	Cosenza	23	4	8	11	-4	20
19	Trapani	23	4	7	12	-19	19
20	Livorno	23	3	5	15	-18	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	12	9	3	0	+21	30
2	Pordenone	12	8	3	1	+11	27
3	Frosinone	11	7	3	1	+13	24
4	Crotone	12	7	3	2	+10	24
5	Ascoli	11	7	2	2	+8	23
6	Salernitana	11	6	4	1	+8	22
7	Virtus Entella	11	6	4	1	+7	22
8	Empoli	12	5	6	1	+7	21
9	Perugia	12	6	3	3	+3	21
10	Juve Stabia	12	6	1	5	-1	19
11	Chievo	11	5	3	3	+4	18
12	Spezia	11	5	3	3	+4	18
13	Pescara	12	4	5	3	+5	17
14	Pisa	12	4	5	3	+2	17
15	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+0	16
16	Cittadella	12	4	3	5	-4	15
17	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-2	10
18	Trapani	11	2	4	5	-5	10
19	Livorno	11	3	1	7	-8	10
20	Venezia	11	2	3	6	-6	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	11	7	3	1	+6	24
2	Cittadella	11	5	3	3	+4	18
3	Venezia	12	4	6	2	+2	18
4	Spezia	11	4	4	3	+3	16
5	Pescara	11	5	0	6	-2	15
6	Salernitana	12	4	2	6	-3	14
7	Pisa	11	3	4	4	-1	13
8	Chievo	12	2	7	3	-1	13
9	Crotone	11	4	1	6	-2	13
10	Frosinone	12	3	4	5	-5	13
11	Virtus Entella	12	3	3	6	-3	12
12	Perugia	11	3	3	5	-7	12
13	Cosenza	12	2	4	6	-2	10
14	Juve Stabia	11	2	4	5	-6	10
15	Pordenone	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Empoli	11	2	3	6	-10	9
17	Trapani	12	2	3	7	-14	9
18	Ascoli	12	2	2	8	-7	8
19	Cremonese	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Livorno	12	0	4	8	-10	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.