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Serie B
Referee: F Meraviglia
Cosenza
T T S U U
1–1
Full-time
Brescia
U U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
1,7
Scored
1,0
0,8
Conceded
2,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,0
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
27%
40%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
53%
33%
Both score Ø 57%
60%
53%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
10 Shots 21
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 8
3 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 16. · Brescia 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 15 10 2 3 +12 32
2 Reggina 15 9 2 4 +15 29
3 Ternana 16 7 4 5 +2 25
4 Bari 15 5 8 2 +6 23
5 Parma 16 6 5 5 +4 23
6 Genoa 15 6 5 4 +3 23
7 Brescia 15 6 5 4 -1 23
8 Sudtirol 15 5 7 3 -1 22
9 Ascoli 15 5 6 4 +2 21
10 Modena 15 6 2 7 +1 20
11 Pisa 15 4 7 4 +4 19
12 Cagliari 16 4 7 5 -2 19
13 Cittadella 15 4 7 4 -3 19
14 Benevento 16 4 6 6 -2 18
15 Palermo 15 5 3 7 -4 18
16 Cosenza 15 4 4 7 -9 16
17 Spal 15 3 6 6 -2 15
18 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -6 15
19 Como 15 3 6 6 -9 15
20 Perugia 15 3 3 9 -10 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Brescia
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 N. Galazzi
↦ E. Ndoj
S. La Vardera 🔁
↦ P. Gozzi
50′
54′
🟨 Tom Van De Looi
Aldo Florenzi 🟨
59′
63′
🔁 Ahmed Benali
↦ M. Bertagnoli
C. D'Urso 🔁
↦ M. Brescianini
65′
M. Nasti 🔁
↦ D. Merola
65′
70′
🔁 J. Łabojko
↦ F. Viviani
70′
🔁 F. Ayé
↦ S. Moreo
1–0 J. Larrivey
71′
A. Meroni 🔁
↦ E. Brignola
80′
A. Vallocchia 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
80′
85′
🔁 F. Pace
↦ A. Jallow
92′
F. Bianchi 1–1
Michele Rigione 🟨
98′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cosenza

4-3-2-1
77 L. Marson G
3 A. Rispoli D
15 S. Väisänen D
5 M. Rigione D
25 P. Gozzi D
34 A. Florenzi M
6 G. Calò M
4 M. Brescianini M
11 E. Brignola M
18 D. Merola M
9 J. Larrivey F
Bench (12)
33 S. La Vardera
10 C. D'Urso
20 M. Nasti
13 A. Meroni
21 A. Vallocchia
7 E. Kornvig
31 K. Matošević
28 A. Sidibe
40 M. Zilli
32 K. Butić
19 A. Camigliano
14 C. Panico

Coach: W. Viali

Brescia

4-4-2
1 L. Andrenacci G
2 F. Karačić D
32 A. Papetti D
14 M. Mangraviti D
18 A. Jallow D
26 M. Bertagnoli M
7 F. Viviani M
5 T. van de Looi M
8 E. Ndoj M
24 F. Bianchi F
9 S. Moreo F
Bench (8)
6 N. Galazzi
28 Ahmed Benali
21 J. Łabojko
11 F. Ayé
30 F. Pace
19 P. Nuamah
12 L. Lezzerini
16 V. Garofalo

Coach: Pep Clotet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,36
U ✓
3,09
B
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Meraviglia · 15 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,60 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.