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Serie B

Spal

T U U S T

2–3

Full-time

Brescia

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

47%

27%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

27%

73%

Both score Ø 54%

27%

80%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 8

5 Corners 5

11 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 5. · Brescia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	16	9	4	3	+6	31
2	Empoli	15	8	6	1	+13	30
3	Monza	16	8	5	3	+13	29
4	Cittadella	14	8	3	3	+14	27
5	Spal	15	7	5	3	+7	26
6	Lecce	16	6	7	3	+9	25
7	Frosinone	15	7	4	4	+2	25
8	Venezia	15	6	5	4	+5	23
9	Pordenone	16	4	9	3	+3	21
10	Chievo	13	5	5	3	+5	20
11	Pisa	15	4	7	4	-6	19
12	Brescia	15	4	6	5	+0	18
13	Reggina	16	4	5	7	-7	17
14	Vicenza	14	3	7	4	-3	16
15	Cosenza	16	2	9	5	-1	15
16	Cremonese	16	3	6	7	-6	15
17	Reggiana	15	4	3	8	-11	15
18	Pescara	16	3	4	9	-14	13
19	Ascoli	15	2	3	10	-12	9
20	Virtus Entella	15	1	5	9	-17	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	8	6	2	0	+10	20
2	Monza	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	Cittadella	8	5	2	1	+10	17
4	Spal	7	5	2	0	+10	17
5	Empoli	7	4	3	0	+7	15
6	Lecce	8	3	4	1	+6	13
7	Venezia	8	4	1	3	+3	13
8	Brescia	8	3	3	2	+4	12
9	Frosinone	8	3	3	2	-1	12
10	Chievo	6	3	1	2	+4	10
11	Reggina	8	3	1	4	-1	10
12	Pisa	7	2	4	1	-1	10
13	Pordenone	8	1	6	1	+2	9
14	Pescara	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Cremonese	8	2	3	3	-3	9
16	Vicenza	6	1	5	0	+1	8
17	Reggiana	7	2	2	3	+1	8
18	Ascoli	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Cosenza	8	0	5	3	-3	5
20	Virtus Entella	8	1	1	6	-10	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	8	4	3	1	+6	15
2	Frosinone	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Lecce	8	3	3	2	+3	12
4	Monza	8	3	3	2	+1	12
5	Pordenone	8	3	3	2	+1	12
6	Salernitana	8	3	2	3	-4	11
7	Cittadella	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Venezia	7	2	4	1	+2	10
9	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	+2	10
10	Chievo	7	2	4	1	+1	10
11	Spal	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Pisa	8	2	3	3	-5	9
13	Vicenza	8	2	2	4	-4	8
14	Reggina	8	1	4	3	-6	7
15	Reggiana	8	2	1	5	-12	7
16	Cremonese	8	1	3	4	-3	6
17	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Virtus Entella	7	0	4	3	-7	4
19	Pescara	7	1	1	5	-11	4
20	Ascoli	8	0	2	6	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.