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Serie B
Lecce
S T U S T
2–2
Full-time
Cremonese
S U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
1,7
1,3
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

25 Shots 17
5 Shots on target 7
10 Corners 6
13 Free kicks against 15
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Lecce 11. · Cremonese 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Cittadella 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Empoli 4 3 1 0 +4 10
3 Salernitana 4 2 2 0 +4 8
4 Venezia 4 2 1 1 +3 7
5 Frosinone 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Chievo 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Reggina 4 1 3 0 +2 6
8 Reggiana 4 1 1 2 +0 4
9 Cosenza 4 0 4 0 +0 4
10 Brescia 4 1 1 2 -1 4
11 Lecce 3 1 1 1 -1 4
12 Ascoli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Monza 3 0 3 0 +0 3
14 Spal 4 0 3 1 -1 3
15 Pordenone 4 0 3 1 -2 3
16 Virtus Entella 4 0 3 1 -2 3
17 Pisa 4 0 3 1 -3 3
18 Vicenza 3 0 2 1 -1 2
19 Cremonese 3 0 2 1 -2 2
20 Pescara 4 0 1 3 -7 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U ✓
3,41
B
5,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,76
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.