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Serie B

Crotone

T S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Spezia

S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,5

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,5

This season — Serie B · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 41%

50%

32%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 51%

60%

42%

Both score Ø 54%

60%

47%

Average goals

2,7

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,2

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

6 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 8

18 Free kicks against 19

4 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 3. · Spezia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	21	15	5	1	+26	50
2	Pordenone	21	10	5	6	+2	35
3	Crotone	20	10	4	6	+10	34
4	Salernitana	21	9	5	7	+4	32
5	Virtus Entella	21	8	7	6	+3	31
6	Chievo	21	7	9	5	+4	30
7	Cittadella	21	8	6	7	-2	30
8	Pescara	21	8	5	8	+4	29
9	Frosinone	20	7	7	6	+5	28
10	Juve Stabia	21	8	4	9	-6	28
11	Ascoli	20	8	3	9	-1	27
12	Perugia	20	7	6	7	-3	27
13	Pisa	21	6	8	7	+0	26
14	Spezia	19	6	7	6	+2	25
15	Empoli	21	5	9	7	-6	24
16	Venezia	20	5	8	7	-4	23
17	Cremonese	20	5	8	7	-7	23
18	Cosenza	21	4	8	9	-2	20
19	Trapani	20	4	6	10	-15	18
20	Livorno	20	3	4	13	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	11	9	2	0	+21	29
2	Pordenone	11	8	2	1	+11	26
3	Ascoli	9	7	1	1	+9	22
4	Frosinone	10	6	3	1	+12	21
5	Crotone	10	6	3	1	+10	21
6	Salernitana	10	5	4	1	+7	19
7	Virtus Entella	10	5	4	1	+5	19
8	Juve Stabia	11	6	1	4	+0	19
9	Chievo	10	5	3	2	+5	18
10	Empoli	11	4	6	1	+5	18
11	Perugia	10	5	3	2	+5	18
12	Pisa	11	4	4	3	+2	16
13	Cremonese	10	4	4	2	+1	16
14	Spezia	10	4	3	3	+3	15
15	Cittadella	11	4	3	4	-3	15
16	Pescara	11	3	5	3	+4	14
17	Cosenza	10	2	4	4	-1	10
18	Trapani	10	2	4	4	-2	10
19	Livorno	10	3	1	6	-5	10
20	Venezia	9	2	2	5	-5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benevento	10	6	3	1	+5	21
2	Venezia	11	3	6	2	+1	15
3	Cittadella	10	4	3	3	+1	15
4	Pescara	10	5	0	5	+0	15
5	Crotone	10	4	1	5	+0	13
6	Salernitana	11	4	1	6	-3	13
7	Chievo	11	2	6	3	-1	12
8	Virtus Entella	11	3	3	5	-2	12
9	Cosenza	11	2	4	5	-1	10
10	Spezia	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Pisa	10	2	4	4	-2	10
12	Juve Stabia	10	2	3	5	-6	9
13	Perugia	10	2	3	5	-8	9
14	Pordenone	10	2	3	5	-9	9
15	Trapani	10	2	2	6	-13	8
16	Frosinone	10	1	4	5	-7	7
17	Cremonese	10	1	4	5	-8	7
18	Empoli	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Ascoli	11	1	2	8	-10	5
20	Livorno	10	0	3	7	-9	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.