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Serie B
Perugia
T S U T T
1–0
Full-time
Livorno
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Perugia Livorno
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,2
This season — Serie B · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 25%
35%
15%
Points per game
1,4
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
35%
Both score Ø 48%
50%
45%
Average goals
2,6
2,5
Scored
1,2
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 2
6 Corners 3
16 Free kicks against 24
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Perugia 13. · Livorno 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benevento 21 15 5 1 +26 50
2 Pordenone 21 10 5 6 +2 35
3 Crotone 21 10 4 7 +9 34
4 Salernitana 21 9 5 7 +4 32
5 Frosinone 21 8 7 6 +6 31
6 Virtus Entella 21 8 7 6 +3 31
7 Chievo 21 7 9 5 +4 30
8 Cittadella 21 8 6 7 -2 30
9 Pescara 21 8 5 8 +4 29
10 Spezia 20 7 7 6 +3 28
11 Juve Stabia 21 8 4 9 -6 28
12 Ascoli 21 8 3 10 -2 27
13 Perugia 20 7 6 7 -3 27
14 Pisa 21 6 8 7 +0 26
15 Venezia 21 5 9 7 -4 24
16 Empoli 21 5 9 7 -6 24
17 Cremonese 20 5 8 7 -7 23
18 Cosenza 21 4 8 9 -2 20
19 Trapani 21 4 7 10 -15 19
20 Livorno 20 3 4 13 -14 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

31. Aug -19 Livorno – Perugia 0–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,82
U
3,29
B
4,61
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,04
U2,5 ✓
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.