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Ligue 2
Referee: Tifenn Leprodhomme
Le Mans
U S U U S
1–0
Full-time
Boulogne
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Le Mans Boulogne
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 30%
30%
30%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
60%
40%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

67% Possession 33%
15 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
10 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Le Mans 8. · Boulogne 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 10 7 2 1 +11 23
2 Pau FC 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 St Etienne 10 6 2 2 +8 20
4 Red Star 10 6 2 2 +7 20
5 Reims 10 4 3 3 +1 15
6 Guingamp 10 4 3 3 -3 15
7 Montpellier 10 4 2 4 -1 14
8 Le Mans 10 3 4 3 +0 13
9 Rodez 10 3 4 3 -3 13
10 Amiens 10 3 3 4 -1 12
11 Annecy 10 3 3 4 -2 12
12 Nancy 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 Dunkerque 10 2 4 4 +1 10
14 Grenoble 10 2 4 4 -2 10
15 Boulogne 10 3 1 6 -4 10
16 Clermont 10 2 4 4 -5 10
17 Laval 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bastia 10 0 4 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Le Mans

3-4-1-2
98 N. Kocik G
21 T. Eyoum
17 S. Yohou D
3 I. Cossier D
18 L. Buades M
8 A. Lauray M
27 M. Rossignol M
22 L. Calodat M
24 M. Robin F
20 W. Harhouz F
9 A. Rabillard F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
5 H. Voyer
7 M. Gomes
6 E. Quarshie
28 E. Colas
25 D. Gueye
26 B. Oggad

Coach: Patrick Videira

Boulogne

4-2-3-1
30 A. Uriev G
18 D. Thiam D
15 A. Pinot D
5 N. Zohore D
12 J. Boyer D
14 J. Bultel M
19 N. Binet M
23 N. Fatar M
7 L. Boiteau M
10 A. El Farissi M
27 E. Mpembele Boula F
Bench (7)
16 I. Kone
22 S. Duflos
25 S. Gourville
21 A. Platret
20 H. Toure
33 F. Boulet
26 G. Capuano

Coach: Fabien Dagneaux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,96
U
3,21
B
3,85
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,18
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.