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Ligue 2
Referee: E Rosier
Nancy
S T U U T
2–4
Full-time
Le Mans
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nancy Le Mans
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,7
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 35%
27%
42%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
50%
35%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
1,4
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 7
0 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 19
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nancy 15. · Le Mans 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 26 15 6 5 +16 51
2 St Etienne 26 15 4 7 +17 49
3 Le Mans 26 11 11 4 +9 44
4 Reims 26 11 10 5 +14 43
5 Rodez 26 10 10 6 +1 40
6 Dunkerque 26 10 9 7 +14 39
7 Annecy 26 11 6 9 +6 39
8 Montpellier 26 11 5 10 +6 38
9 Red Star 25 10 8 7 +3 38
10 Guingamp 26 9 9 8 -1 36
11 Pau FC 26 9 8 9 -5 35
12 Boulogne 26 8 6 12 -9 30
13 Grenoble 26 6 11 9 -6 29
14 Clermont 26 7 7 12 -5 28
15 Nancy 26 7 6 13 -14 27
16 Amiens 26 6 5 15 -15 23
17 Laval 26 3 11 12 -16 20
18 Bastia 25 3 10 12 -15 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nancy Le Mans
1–0 Z. Ztouti
N. Fernandez
11′
32′
🔁 H. Voyer
↦ I. Cossier
39′
A. Rabillard 1–1
L. Calodat
Half-time 1–2
48′
A. Rabillard 1–2
L. Buades
B. Bokangu 🔁
↦ V. Orakpo
54′
59′
🔁 A. Bourabaa
↦ M. Robin
59′
A. Rabillard 1–3
60′
🔁 A. Lauray
↦ E. Quarshie
T. Bouriaud 🔁
↦ M. Carlier
63′
F. Maouassa 🔁
↦ Z. Fdaouch
64′
J. Evans 🔁
↦ Z. Ztouti
64′
H. Barbier 🔁
↦ J. Gelin
69′
71′
🔁 D. Gueye
↦ E. Colas
72′
🔁 W. Harhouz
↦ A. Rabillard
Brandon Bokangu 🟨
77′
77′
🟨 Alexandre Lauray
79′
L. Buades 1–4
2–4 W. Bouabdelli
90′
Full-time 2–4

Line-ups

Nancy

4-2-3-1
1 E. Basilio G
44 E. Tacafred D
77 Y. Nahounou D
4 N. Fernandez D
3 J. Bourgault D
25 J. Gelin M
17 M. Carlier M
8 W. Bouabdelli M
26 Z. Ztouti M
7 Z. Fdaouch M
24 V. Orakpo F
Bench (7)
30 G. Lembet
6 T. Bouriaud
27 F. Maouassa
12 A. Julloux
22 J. Evans
20 B. Bokangu
18 H. Barbier

Coach: Pablo Correa

Le Mans

3-1-4-2
98 N. Kocik G
31 N. Boisse D
17 S. Yohou D
3 I. Cossier D
29 L. Bretelle
18 L. Buades M
24 M. Robin M
6 E. Quarshie M
22 L. Calodat M
9 A. Rabillard F
28 E. Colas F
Bench (7)
1 E. Hatfout
12 A. Ribelin
25 D. Gueye
20 W. Harhouz
11 A. Bourabaa
5 H. Voyer
8 A. Lauray

Coach: Patrick Videira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,91
U
3,14
B ✓
2,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,11
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Rosier · 35 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.