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Ligue 2
Referee: Azzedine Souifi
Guingamp
S S T S S
2–2
Full-time
Nancy
U T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guingamp Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
75%
50%
Both score Ø 51%
63%
38%
Average goals
3,9
2,1
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
2,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

70% Possession 30%
15 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
1 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 2
The table before the match Guingamp 6. · Nancy 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 8 6 1 1 +10 19
2 St Etienne 8 5 2 1 +7 17
3 Pau FC 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 Red Star 8 5 1 2 +6 16
5 Reims 8 4 2 2 +3 14
6 Guingamp 8 4 1 3 -3 13
7 Montpellier 8 3 2 3 +0 11
8 Nancy 8 3 2 3 -1 11
9 Rodez 8 3 2 3 -3 11
10 Clermont 8 2 4 2 -2 10
11 Dunkerque 8 2 3 3 +2 9
12 Amiens 8 2 3 3 -1 9
13 Le Mans 8 2 3 3 -1 9
14 Annecy 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Laval 8 1 4 3 -4 7
16 Grenoble 8 1 3 4 -4 6
17 Boulogne 8 2 0 6 -5 6
18 Bastia 8 0 3 5 -7 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Guingamp Nancy
Half-time 0–1
53′
P. Ouotro 0–1
D. Ourega 🔁
↦ G. Ott
58′
F. Mbemba 🔁
↦ J. Hatchi
58′
1–1 D. Gomis
D. Ourega
60′
63′
🟨 Maxence Carlier
67′
🔁 B. Bokangu
↦ T. Bouriaud
67′
🔁 B. Camara
↦ W. Bouabdelli
70′
🟨 Maxence Carlier
70′
🟥 Maxence Carlier
75′
🔁 J. Evans
↦ P. Ouotro
78′
Z. Fdaouch 1–2
J. Evans
D. N'Landu 🔁
↦ K. Sidibe
79′
A. Sagna 🔁
↦ S. Kielt
79′
2–2 L. Mafouta
D. Ourega
85′
Dylan Ourega 🟨
91′
Donatien Gomis 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 Nehemiah Fernandez
94′
🔁 F. Maouassa
↦ Z. Fdaouch
97′
🟨 Nehemiah Fernandez
97′
🟥 Nehemiah Fernandez
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Guingamp

4-1-4-1
1 T. Bartouche-Selbonne G
2 E. Koffi D
7 D. Gomis D
22 A. Sissoko D
29 A. Abdallah D
4 D. Louiserre M
20 J. Hatchi M
27 S. Kielt M
8 K. Sidibe M
24 G. Ott M
9 L. Mafouta F
Bench (7)
40 N. Marec
36 A. Demouchy
23 D. Ourega
39 T. Ahile
6 D. N'Landu
11 A. Sagna
21 F. Mbemba

Coach: Sylvain Ripoll

Nancy

5-4-1
1 E. Basilio G
12 A. Julloux D
77 Y. Nahounou D
14 N. Saint-Ruf D
4 N. Fernandez D
19 M. Experience D
8 W. Bouabdelli M
17 M. Carlier M
6 T. Bouriaud M
7 Z. Fdaouch M
29 P. Ouotro F
Bench (7)
40 N. Kenzo
23 R. Bamba
27 F. Maouassa
20 B. Bokangu
13 B. Camara
10 A. Dabasse
22 J. Evans

Coach: Pablo Correa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
3,28
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,83
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Azzedine Souifi · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
31,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.