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Ligue 2

Referee: A Kherradji

Valenciennes

U S U T U

0–1

Full-time

Concarneau

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Concarneau

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,2

2,3

Scored

0,3

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 14%

14%

Points per game

0,9

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

43%

29%

Both score Ø 29%

29%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

0,4

0,6

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,9

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 8

22 Free kicks against 20

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valenciennes 18. · Concarneau 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Grenoble	7	3	4	0	+4	13
3	Amiens	7	4	1	2	+1	13
4	Caen	6	4	0	2	+7	12
5	Auxerre	7	3	3	1	+5	12
6	Rodez	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Angers	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	St Etienne	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Guingamp	7	3	1	3	+5	10
10	Annecy	7	2	4	1	+3	10
11	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	-1	10
12	Ajaccio	7	2	3	2	-4	9
13	Bastia	7	2	2	3	-2	8
14	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Troyes	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Paris FC	7	2	0	5	-3	6
17	Dunkerque	7	1	3	3	-4	6
18	Valenciennes	7	1	3	3	-6	6
19	Concarneau	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Quevilly Rouen	7	0	2	5	-5	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Laval	4	4	0	0	+4	12
2	Amiens	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Angers	4	2	2	0	+4	8
4	Grenoble	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Pau FC	4	2	1	1	+2	7
6	Guingamp	3	2	0	1	+6	6
7	Paris FC	3	2	0	1	+4	6
8	Caen	3	2	0	1	+4	6
9	Rodez	3	2	0	1	+3	6
10	Bastia	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Bordeaux	3	2	0	1	+1	6
12	Ajaccio	4	1	3	0	+1	6
13	Annecy	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	St Etienne	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Auxerre	3	0	2	1	-1	2
17	Dunkerque	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Concarneau	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Quevilly Rouen	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Valenciennes	3	0	1	2	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Auxerre	4	3	1	0	+6	10
2	St Etienne	4	2	1	1	+1	7
3	Caen	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Annecy	3	1	2	0	+3	5
5	Grenoble	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Rodez	4	1	2	1	+0	5
7	Valenciennes	4	1	2	1	-2	5
8	Laval	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Guingamp	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Dunkerque	3	1	1	1	-2	4
11	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Troyes	4	0	3	1	-1	3
13	Concarneau	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Angers	3	1	0	2	-3	3
15	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-4	3
16	Ajaccio	3	1	0	2	-5	3
17	Bastia	4	0	2	2	-3	2
18	Quevilly Rouen	4	0	1	3	-3	1
19	Pau FC	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Paris FC	4	0	0	4	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.