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Ligue 2

Caen

U T S U U

0–3

Full-time

Le Havre

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Le Havre

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 39%

17%

60%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

33%

80%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

1,5

3,4

Scored

0,7

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 40%

20%

60%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

40%

80%

Both score Ø 80%

60%

100%

Average goals

1,6

3,4

Scored

0,8

2,2

Conceded

0,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 4

10 Corners 2

10 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 12. · Le Havre 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Le Havre	5	3	2	0	+5	11
3	Clermont	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Ajaccio	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Valenciennes	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Chambly	5	2	3	0	+2	9
7	Sochaux	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Rodez	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Niort	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
11	Lens	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Caen	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Nancy	5	1	3	1	-2	6
14	Auxerre	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Guingamp	5	1	2	2	-2	5
16	Grenoble	5	0	3	2	-3	3
17	Orleans	5	0	2	3	-3	2
18	Chateauroux	5	0	2	3	-7	2
19	Paris FC	5	0	1	4	-6	1
20	Le Mans	5	0	0	5	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Rodez	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Lorient	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Clermont	3	1	2	0	+3	5
5	Nancy	3	1	2	0	+1	5
6	Chambly	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Auxerre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Le Havre	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Niort	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Valenciennes	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Ajaccio	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Guingamp	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Troyes	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Lens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Grenoble	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Paris FC	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Caen	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Chateauroux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Orleans	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Le Mans	3	0	0	3	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Lorient	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Clermont	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Ajaccio	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Valenciennes	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Caen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Troyes	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Niort	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Chambly	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Lens	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Orleans	3	0	2	1	-1	2
12	Grenoble	3	0	2	1	-2	2
13	Sochaux	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Rodez	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Guingamp	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Auxerre	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Nancy	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Chateauroux	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Le Mans	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Paris FC	3	0	0	3	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.