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Ligue 2
Dunkerque
S T S U T
2–0
Full-time
Chateauroux
T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Chateauroux
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 31%
38%
23%
Points per game
1,3
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
31%
46%
Both score Ø 46%
38%
54%
Average goals
1,8
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

14 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 2
4 Corners 4
13 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 11. · Chateauroux 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 13 8 3 2 +11 27
2 Paris FC 14 8 3 3 +7 27
3 Grenoble 12 8 1 3 +9 25
4 Toulouse 13 6 4 3 +6 22
5 Auxerre 13 6 3 4 +7 21
6 Caen 13 6 3 4 +1 21
7 Clermont 13 5 5 3 +7 20
8 Niort 12 6 2 4 +1 20
9 Sochaux 13 4 6 3 +4 18
10 Valenciennes 13 4 5 4 +0 17
11 Dunkerque 13 5 2 6 -1 17
12 Le Havre 13 5 2 6 -6 17
13 Amiens 13 4 3 6 -1 15
14 Guingamp 13 3 5 5 -2 14
15 Pau FC 13 3 4 6 -3 13
16 Ajaccio 13 3 4 6 -9 13
17 Chateauroux 13 3 3 7 -5 12
18 Nancy 12 3 2 7 -5 11
19 Rodez 13 2 5 6 -10 11
20 Chambly 13 2 5 6 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,35
U
2,89
B
3,31
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,51
U2,5 ✓
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.