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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Bacher

Ulm

T U S T S

2–3

Full-time

Hertha

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 26%

17%

34%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

41%

62%

Both score Ø 61%

55%

66%

Average goals

2,2

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

52% Possession 48%

10 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

10 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ulm 17. · Hertha 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	30	14	11	5	+27	53
2	FC Koln	29	15	6	8	+9	51
3	Elversberg	30	13	9	8	+21	48
4	Paderborn	30	13	9	8	+10	48
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	30	13	9	8	+5	48
6	Magdeburg	29	12	10	7	+13	46
7	Kaiserslautern	30	13	7	10	+3	46
8	Nurnberg	30	13	5	12	+3	44
9	Hannover	29	11	10	8	+5	43
10	Karlsruhe	29	11	8	10	-3	41
11	Schalke 04	30	10	8	12	-4	38
12	Hertha	29	10	6	13	-2	36
13	Darmstadt	29	9	8	12	+2	35
14	Greuther Furth	29	9	8	12	-12	35
15	Braunschweig	30	8	9	13	-20	33
16	Preußen Münster	29	6	10	13	-8	28
17	Ulm	29	5	11	13	-6	26
18	Regensburg	29	6	4	19	-43	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	15	7	7	1	+20	28
2	Elversberg	16	8	3	5	+11	27
3	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+7	27
4	Kaiserslautern	15	7	5	3	+10	26
5	Nurnberg	15	8	2	5	+5	26
6	FC Koln	14	7	3	4	+9	24
7	Karlsruhe	14	7	3	4	+3	24
8	Paderborn	15	7	2	6	+6	23
9	Darmstadt	14	6	4	4	+9	22
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Braunschweig	15	6	4	5	-1	22
12	Schalke 04	15	6	3	6	-1	21
13	Regensburg	15	6	3	6	-5	21
14	Greuther Furth	15	5	5	5	-4	20
15	Ulm	14	4	4	6	+1	16
16	Magdeburg	14	3	7	4	-1	16
17	Preußen Münster	15	3	6	6	-2	15
18	Hertha	14	3	3	8	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	15	9	3	3	+14	30
2	FC Koln	15	8	3	4	+0	27
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	7	5	3	+5	26
4	Hamburg	15	7	4	4	+7	25
5	Paderborn	15	6	7	2	+4	25
6	Hertha	15	7	3	5	+3	24
7	Elversberg	14	5	6	3	+10	21
8	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-7	20
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-2	18
10	Schalke 04	15	4	5	6	-3	17
11	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-6	17
12	Hannover	14	4	4	6	-2	16
13	Greuther Furth	14	4	3	7	-8	15
14	Preußen Münster	14	3	4	7	-6	13
15	Darmstadt	15	3	4	8	-7	13
16	Braunschweig	15	2	5	8	-19	11
17	Ulm	15	1	7	7	-7	10
18	Regensburg	14	0	1	13	-38	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.