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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
Darmstadt
S T T S U
3–1
Full-time
Hannover
U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Hannover
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,2
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 35%
31%
38%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
62%
45%
Both score Ø 59%
66%
52%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
12 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 8
3 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Darmstadt 13. · Hannover 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 30 14 11 5 +27 53
2 FC Koln 29 15 6 8 +9 51
3 Elversberg 30 13 9 8 +21 48
4 Paderborn 30 13 9 8 +10 48
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 30 13 9 8 +5 48
6 Magdeburg 29 12 10 7 +13 46
7 Kaiserslautern 30 13 7 10 +3 46
8 Nurnberg 30 13 5 12 +3 44
9 Hannover 29 11 10 8 +5 43
10 Karlsruhe 29 11 8 10 -3 41
11 Schalke 04 30 10 8 12 -4 38
12 Hertha 29 10 6 13 -2 36
13 Darmstadt 29 9 8 12 +2 35
14 Greuther Furth 29 9 8 12 -12 35
15 Braunschweig 30 8 9 13 -20 33
16 Preußen Münster 29 6 10 13 -8 28
17 Ulm 29 5 11 13 -6 26
18 Regensburg 29 6 4 19 -43 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Darmstadt Hannover
1–0 F. Hornby
K. Corredor
1′
25′
🟨 Sei Muroya
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 A. Voglsammer
↦ N. Tresoldi
51′
🟨 Fabian Kunze
55′
🟨 Marcel Halstenberg
M. Papela 🔁
↦ J. Boëtius
58′
61′
🔁 R. Matondo
↦ K. Oudenne
62′
🔁 J. Rochelt
↦ Lee Hyun-Ju
Matondo-Merveille Papela 🟨
65′
Clemens Riedel 🟨
67′
76′
🔁 L. Gindorf
↦ F. Kunze
L. Marseiler 🔁
↦ F. Nürnberger
77′
82′
A. Voglsammer 1–1
H. Nielsen
2–1 K. Corredor
L. Marseiler
83′
M. Maglica 🔁
↦ I. Lidberg
86′
F. Lakenmacher 🔁
↦ K. Corredor
86′
M. Thiede 🔁
↦ Sergio López
86′
86′
🔁 J. Knight
↦ B. Wdowik
91′
🟨 Ron-Robert Zieler
3–1 F. Hornby
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Darmstadt

4-4-2
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
10 J. Boëtius M
16 A. Müller M
15 F. Nürnberger M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
9 F. Hornby F
Bench (8)
21 M. Papela
8 L. Marseiler
5 M. Maglica
19 F. Lakenmacher
13 M. Thiede
11 T. Kempe
29 O. Vilhelmsson
43 S. Kroll

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Hannover

4-4-2
1 R. Zieler G
21 S. Muroya D
5 P. Neumann D
23 M. Halstenberg D
17 B. Wdowik D
11 Lee Hyun-Ju M
8 E. Leopold M
6 F. Kunze M
29 K. Oudenne M
16 H. Nielsen F
9 N. Tresoldi F
Bench (9)
32 A. Voglsammer
40 R. Matondo
10 J. Rochelt
25 L. Gindorf
2 J. Knight
3 B. Tomiak
30 L. Weinkauf
13 M. Christiansen
20 J. Dehm

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,13
U
3,51
B
3,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,71
U2,5
2,09
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.