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2. Bundesliga
Referee: R Kampka
Ulm
T U U T U
2–1
Full-time
Darmstadt
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm Darmstadt
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,2
2,8
Scored
0,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 22%
12%
31%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
38%
65%
Both score Ø 60%
54%
65%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
12 Shots 19
4 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 5
6 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
1 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ulm 17. · Darmstadt 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 26 13 9 4 +26 48
2 FC Koln 26 14 5 7 +9 47
3 Paderborn 26 12 9 5 +12 45
4 Kaiserslautern 26 12 7 7 +6 43
5 Magdeburg 26 11 9 6 +12 42
6 Hannover 26 11 9 6 +8 42
7 Nurnberg 26 12 5 9 +7 41
8 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 11 8 7 +5 41
9 Elversberg 26 11 7 8 +13 40
10 Karlsruhe 26 10 7 9 -2 37
11 Schalke 04 26 9 6 11 -3 33
12 Greuther Furth 26 9 6 11 -11 33
13 Darmstadt 26 8 7 11 +2 31
14 Hertha 26 8 5 13 -5 29
15 Preußen Münster 26 6 8 12 -7 26
16 Braunschweig 26 5 8 13 -25 23
17 Ulm 26 3 11 12 -7 20
18 Regensburg 26 4 4 18 -40 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

27. Oct -24 Darmstadt – Ulm 1–1

Match report

Ulm Darmstadt
Half-time 1–0
1–0 L. Röser
B. Allgeier
50′
2–0 O. Batista Meier
T. Gaal
57′
61′
🔁 F. Nürnberger
↦ Sergio López
61′
🔁 F. Lakenmacher
↦ J. Boëtius
63′
🟨 Matondo-Merveille Papela
68′
C. Riedel 2–1
Guille Bueno
Aaron Keller 🟨
69′
S. Telalović 🔁
↦ L. Röser
75′
L. Hyryläinen 🔁
↦ M. Brandt
75′
75′
🔁 M. Maglica
↦ M. Papela
75′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ Guille Bueno
Luka Hyrylainen 🟨
77′
R. Rösch 🔁
↦ P. Strompf
81′
Felix Higl 🟨
88′
A. Kahvić 🔁
↦ F. Higl
90′
M. Krattenmacher 🔁
↦ O. Batista Meier
90′
Aleksandar Kahvić 🟨
91′
Niclas Thiede 🟨
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ulm

3-4-1-2
1 N. Thiede G
4 T. Gaal D
5 J. Reichert D
32 P. Strompf D
7 B. Allgeier M
23 M. Brandt M
14 D. Dressel M
16 A. Keller M
21 O. Batista Meier F
9 L. Röser F
33 F. Higl F
Bench (9)
29 S. Telalović
38 L. Hyryläinen
43 R. Rösch
22 A. Kahvić
30 M. Krattenmacher
10 A. Ludwig
12 M. Seybold
19 J. Meier
11 D. Chessa

Coach: R. Lechleiter

Darmstadt

4-2-3-1
1 M. Schuhen G
2 Sergio López D
38 C. Riedel D
20 A. Vukotić D
3 Guille Bueno D
16 A. Müller M
21 M. Papela M
8 L. Marseiler M
10 J. Boëtius M
34 K. Corredor M
7 I. Lidberg F
Bench (7)
15 F. Nürnberger
19 F. Lakenmacher
5 M. Maglica
18 P. Förster
13 M. Thiede
11 T. Kempe
30 A. Brunst

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,77
U
3,23
B
2,56
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,04
U2,5
1,75
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Kampka · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.