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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Villarreal
T T S U S
2–2
Full-time
Sociedad
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
1,8
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
0,8
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 43%
47%
39%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
63%
42%
Both score Ø 50%
73%
26%
Average goals
3,1
2,1
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,94 xG 2,02
58% Possession 42%
20 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 12
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Villarreal 5. · Sociedad 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Barcelona 32 23 4 5 +56 +40.0 73
2 Real Madrid 31 20 6 5 +33 +27.1 66
3 Ath Madrid 32 18 9 5 +26 +22.5 63
4 Ath Bilbao 31 15 12 4 +24 +16.5 57
5 Villarreal 30 14 9 7 +13 +19.6 51
6 Betis 31 13 9 9 +3 +9.2 48
7 Mallorca 32 12 8 12 -6 +1.1 44
8 Celta 32 12 7 13 -2 +9.4 43
9 Vallecano 32 10 11 11 -4 -3.0 41
10 Sociedad 31 12 5 14 -4 +0.3 41
11 Osasuna 32 9 14 9 -7 -8.3 41
12 Getafe 32 10 9 13 +2 -5.7 39
13 Espanol 31 10 8 13 -6 -20.6 38
14 Valencia 32 9 11 12 -12 -8.7 38
15 Sevilla 31 9 9 13 -8 -9.3 36
16 Girona 31 9 7 15 -10 -4.0 34
17 Las Palmas 32 8 8 16 -14 -28.1 32
18 Alaves 31 7 9 15 -12 -3.0 30
19 Leganes 32 6 11 15 -19 -24.8 29
20 Valladolid 32 4 4 24 -53 -30.2 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Sociedad
1–0 Yeremy Pino
Sergi Cardona
7′
18′
ℹ️ Aihen Muñoz
VAR: Penalty confirmed
19′
Mikel Oyarzabal 1–1
Yéremy Pino 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 Jon Pacheco
↦ L. Sučić
49′
Mikel Oyarzabal 1–2
N. Pépé 🔁
↦ Denis Suárez
59′
2–2 Ayoze Pérez
Yeremy Pino
60′
64′
🔁 Javi López
↦ Aihen Muñoz
64′
🔁 J. Aramburu
↦ H. Traoré
Sergi Cardona 🟨
66′
Yéremy Pino ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
69′
P. Gueye 🔁
↦ Dani Parejo
70′
Alfonso Pedraza 🔁
↦ Sergi Cardona
70′
70′
🔁 Jon Olasagasti
↦ Beñat Turrientes
77′
🟨 Sergio Gómez
85′
🔁 Brais Méndez
↦ T. Kubo
E. Eyong 🔁
↦ Yeremy Pino
88′
Nicolas Pépé 🟨
98′
Kiko Femenía 🟨
98′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-4-2
1 Luíz Júnior G
17 Kiko Femenía D
8 J. Foyth D
2 Logan Costa D
23 Sergi Cardona D
21 Yeremy Pino M
14 Santi Comesaña M
10 Dani Parejo M
6 Denis Suárez M
22 Ayoze Pérez F
15 T. Barry F
Bench (9)
19 N. Pépé
18 P. Gueye
24 Alfonso Pedraza
36 E. Eyong
4 E. Bailly
27 Arnau Solà
5 W. Kambwala
26 Pau Navarro
13 Diego Conde

Coach: Marcelino

Sociedad

4-1-4-1
1 Álex Remiro G
18 H. Traoré D
31 Jon Martín D
6 Aritz Elustondo D
3 Aihen Muñoz D
22 Beñat Turrientes M
14 T. Kubo M
28 Pablo Marín M
24 L. Sučić M
17 Sergio Gómez M
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F
Bench (10)
20 Jon Pacheco
12 Javi López
19 J. Aramburu
16 Jon Olasagasti
23 Brais Méndez
40 Arkaitz Mariezkurrena
13 Unai Marrero
37 Luken Beitia
32 Aitor Fraga
11 S. Becker

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,70
U ✓
3,85
B
4,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,88
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.