Bundesliga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ein Frankfurt
Werder Bremen
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern Munich
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | +29 | +20.3 | 29 |
| 2 |
RB Leipzig
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | +9 | +0.1 | 21 |
| 3 |
Ein Frankfurt
|
10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | +1.4 | 20 |
| 4 |
Leverkusen
|
11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | +8 | +10.7 | 20 |
| 5 |
Dortmund
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +4 | +4.0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Freiburg
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +5.0 | 17 |
| 7 |
Stuttgart
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +2 | +3.7 | 16 |
| 8 |
Union Berlin
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | +0 | -3.3 | 16 |
| 9 |
Wolfsburg
|
11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | +2 | -2.0 | 15 |
| 10 |
Werder Bremen
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -4 | +0.3 | 15 |
| 11 |
M'gladbach
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +1 | +1.0 | 14 |
| 12 |
Mainz
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | -3.4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Hoffenheim
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 | -7.8 | 12 |
| 14 |
Augsburg
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -10 | -4.9 | 12 |
| 15 |
Heidenheim
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | -5 | +0.9 | 10 |
| 16 |
St Pauli
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -5 | -5.3 | 8 |
| 17 |
Holstein Kiel
|
10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | -7.8 | 5 |
| 18 |
Bochum
|
11 | 0 | 2 | 9 | -22 | -12.9 | 2 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
K. Trapp
G
N. Collins
D
R. Koch
D
A. Theate
D
N. Brown
D
M. Götze
M
E. Skhiri
M
A. Knauff
M
Omar Marmoush
F
Coach: D. Toppmöller
M. Zetterer
G
N. Stark
D
M. Friedl
D
M. Weiser
M
L. Bittencourt
M
S. Lynen
M
D. Köhn
M
M. Grüll
F
R. Schmid
F
M. Ducksch
F
Coach: O. Werner
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stuttgart
Ein Frankfurt
Ein Frankfurt
Slavia Praha
Ein Frankfurt
Bochum
Ein Frankfurt
M'gladbach
Union Berlin
Ein Frankfurt
F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.