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Bundesliga
Referee: F Badstübner
Ein Frankfurt
U S S S S
1–0
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ein Frankfurt Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,7
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
70%
80%
Both score Ø 75%
80%
70%
Average goals
4,2
3,8
Scored
2,6
1,7
Conceded
1,6
2,1
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,4
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,02 xG 0,42
50% Possession 50%
15 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
7 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 6
1 Offside 4
15 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ein Frankfurt 3. · Werder Bremen 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 11 9 2 0 +29 +20.3 29
2 RB Leipzig 11 6 3 2 +9 +0.1 21
3 Ein Frankfurt 10 6 2 2 +10 +1.4 20
4 Leverkusen 11 5 5 1 +8 +10.7 20
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +4 +4.0 19
6 Freiburg 11 5 2 4 -2 +5.0 17
7 Stuttgart 11 4 4 3 +2 +3.7 16
8 Union Berlin 11 4 4 3 +0 -3.3 16
9 Wolfsburg 11 4 3 4 +2 -2.0 15
10 Werder Bremen 10 4 3 3 -4 +0.3 15
11 M'gladbach 10 4 2 4 +1 +1.0 14
12 Mainz 10 3 4 3 +1 -3.4 13
13 Hoffenheim 11 3 3 5 -5 -7.8 12
14 Augsburg 11 3 3 5 -10 -4.9 12
15 Heidenheim 11 3 1 7 -5 +0.9 10
16 St Pauli 10 2 2 6 -5 -5.3 8
17 Holstein Kiel 10 1 2 7 -13 -7.8 5
18 Bochum 11 0 2 9 -22 -12.9 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ein Frankfurt Werder Bremen
27′
🟨 Derrick Köhn
1–0 M. Götze
H. Ekitiké
45′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🟨 Senne Lynen
Omar Marmoush 🟨
56′
63′
🔁 J. Njinmah
↦ M. Grüll
J. Bahoya 🔁
↦ A. Knauff
66′
77′
🔁 K. Topp
↦ L. Bittencourt
77′
🔁 O. Deman
↦ D. Köhn
H. Larsson 🔁
↦ M. Götze
81′
F. Chaïbi 🔁
↦ Omar Marmoush
81′
86′
🔁 S. Alvero
↦ S. Lynen
86′
🔁 A. Pieper
↦ N. Stark
I. Matanović 🔁
↦ H. Ekitiké
89′
Ellyes Skhiri 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Ein Frankfurt

4-4-2
1 K. Trapp G
34 N. Collins D
4 R. Koch D
3 A. Theate D
21 N. Brown D
27 M. Götze M
15 E. Skhiri M
35 Tuta M
36 A. Knauff M
11 H. Ekitiké F
7 Omar Marmoush F
Bench (9)
19 J. Bahoya
16 H. Larsson
8 F. Chaïbi
9 I. Matanović
18 Mahmoud Dahoud
22 T. Chandler
40 Kauã Santos
20 C. Uzun
29 N. Nkounkou

Coach: D. Toppmöller

Werder Bremen

3-4-2-1
1 M. Zetterer G
4 N. Stark D
32 M. Friedl D
13 M. Veljković D
8 M. Weiser M
10 L. Bittencourt M
14 S. Lynen M
19 D. Köhn M
17 M. Grüll F
20 R. Schmid F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (8)
11 J. Njinmah
42 K. Topp
2 O. Deman
28 S. Alvero
5 A. Pieper
33 A. Nankishi
30 M. Backhaus
22 J. Malatini

Coach: O. Werner

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,71
U
4,25
B
4,46
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,50
U2,5 ✓
2,59
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Badstübner · 96 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.