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LaLiga2
Referee: Daniel Palencia
Cartagena
T S T T S
1–2
Full-time
Almeria
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cartagena Almeria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
1,5
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — LaLiga2 · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
20%
43%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
53%
71%
Both score Ø 66%
53%
79%
Average goals
2,4
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

35% Possession 65%
7 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
26 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cartagena 22. · Almeria 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Santander 15 11 3 1 +13 36
2 Oviedo 15 7 5 3 +5 26
3 Sp Gijon 15 7 4 4 +7 25
4 Granada 15 7 4 4 +5 25
5 Mirandes 15 7 4 4 +4 25
6 Zaragoza 15 7 3 5 +7 24
7 Levante 14 6 5 3 +4 23
8 Elche 15 6 4 5 +3 22
9 Almeria 14 6 4 4 +1 22
10 Malaga 14 4 9 1 +1 21
11 Eibar 15 6 3 6 -1 21
12 Castellon 14 6 2 6 +2 20
13 Huesca 15 5 4 6 +3 19
14 Eldense 15 5 3 7 -3 18
15 Albacete 15 4 5 6 -4 17
16 Cadiz 15 4 5 6 -4 17
17 La Coruna 15 4 4 7 +0 16
18 Cordoba 14 4 4 6 -4 16
19 Burgos 15 4 3 8 -8 15
20 Ferrol 15 2 7 6 -8 13
21 Tenerife 14 2 4 8 -9 10
22 Cartagena 15 3 1 11 -14 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cartagena Almeria
6′
🟨 Edgar González
24′
Sergio Arribas 0–1
Álex Centelles
1–1 G. Valles
Cedric Teguia
35′
Dani Escriche ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
45′
Half-time 1–1
Damián Musto 🟨
54′
Mini 🟨
54′
60′
🔁 Álex Pozo
↦ Arnau Puigmal
60′
🔁 Nico Melamed
↦ Léo Baptistão
65′
L. Suárez 1–2
Luis Muñoz 🔁
↦ Sergio Guerrero
70′
Andy Rodríguez 🔁
↦ D. Musto
70′
L. Román 🔁
↦ Hugo González
77′
Alfredo Ortuño 🔁
↦ Cedric Teguia
82′
83′
🔁 Kaiky
↦ Marc Pubill
90′
🔁 Gui
↦ L. Suárez
90′
🔁 M. Milovanović
↦ Sergio Arribas
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cartagena

4-2-3-1
1 Pablo Cuñat G
2 Jorge Moreno D
4 Pedro Alcalá D
24 N. Šipčić D
20 Jairo Izquierdo D
6 Sergio Guerrero M
18 D. Musto M
23 Cedric Teguia M
10 Dani Escriche M
34 Hugo González M
7 G. Valles F
Bench (10)
8 Luis Muñoz
17 Andy Rodríguez
37 L. Román
9 Alfredo Ortuño
22 Kiko Olivas
28 Jesús Hernández
27 Carmelo Sánchez
19 Martín Aguirregabiria
40 Toni Fuidias
30 Jhafets Christ

Coach: Jandro Castro

Almeria

4-4-2
13 Fernando Martínez G
18 Marc Pubill D
21 Chumi D
3 Edgar González D
20 Álex Centelles D
2 Arnau Puigmal M
6 D. Lopy M
15 I. Baba M
12 Léo Baptistão M
11 Sergio Arribas F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (12)
17 Álex Pozo
10 Nico Melamed
4 Kaiky
27 Gui
19 M. Milovanović
28 R. Fettal
31 Bruno Iribarne
24 Bruno Langa
1 Luís Maximiano
16 A. Radovanović
34 Rubén Quintanilla
36 M. Perović

Coach: Rubi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,28
U
3,61
B ✓
1,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,88
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniel Palencia · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.