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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Hertha
S S T U T
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,7
3,2
Scored
2,5
2,0
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,8
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 35%
38%
31%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
78%
81%
Both score Ø 77%
72%
81%
Average goals
3,8
3,6
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

44% Possession 56%
15 Shots 13
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 9. · Kaiserslautern 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Holstein Kiel 32 20 4 8 +25 64
2 St Pauli 32 18 9 5 +23 63
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 32 17 8 7 +31 59
4 Hamburg 33 16 7 10 +17 55
5 Karlsruhe 32 14 10 8 +18 52
6 Hannover 32 12 13 7 +15 49
7 Paderborn 33 14 7 12 -1 49
8 Greuther Furth 33 13 8 12 -1 47
9 Hertha 32 12 9 11 +9 45
10 Elversberg 32 12 7 13 -8 43
11 Schalke 04 32 11 7 14 -6 40
12 Magdeburg 33 9 11 13 -7 38
13 Nurnberg 32 10 7 15 -21 37
14 Kaiserslautern 32 10 6 16 -8 36
15 Braunschweig 32 10 5 17 -12 35
16 Wehen 32 8 8 16 -12 32
17 Hansa Rostock 32 9 4 19 -25 31
18 Osnabruck 32 5 10 17 -37 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Kaiserslautern
17′
🟨 Jan Elvedi
1–0 H. Tabaković
19′
25′
🟨 Ben Zolinski
Deyovaisio Zeefuik 🟨
29′
30′
🟨 Jean Zimmer
32′
🔁 A. Opoku
↦ B. Zolinski
39′
M. Ritter 1–1
Half-time 2–1
2–1 J. Dudziak
F. Reese
48′
M. Kempf 🔁
↦ B. Hussein
62′
64′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ N. Soldo
3–1 F. Reese
67′
Marten Winkler 🟨
79′
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ I. Maza
79′
M. Winkler 🔁
↦ P. Dárdai
79′
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ H. Tabaković
84′
P. Pekarík 🔁
↦ J. Dudziak
84′
85′
🔁 A. Aremu
↦ K. Redondo
85′
🔁 D. Abiama
↦ T. Raschl
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
12 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
44 L. Gechter D
31 M. Dárdai D
19 J. Dudziak D
8 B. Hussein M
34 D. Zeefuik M
27 P. Dárdai M
30 I. Maza M
11 F. Reese M
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (9)
20 M. Kempf
39 D. Scherhant
22 M. Winkler
7 F. Niederlechner
2 P. Pekarík
5 A. Bouchalakis
41 P. Klemens
35 M. Gersbeck
37 T. Leistner

Coach: P. Dárdai

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
18 J. Krahl G
31 B. Zolinski D
33 J. Elvedi D
2 B. Tomiak D
15 T. Puchacz D
14 N. Soldo M
20 T. Raschl M
8 J. Zimmer M
7 M. Ritter M
11 K. Redondo M
9 R. Ache F
Bench (9)
17 A. Opoku
10 P. Klement
4 A. Aremu
40 D. Abiama
6 A. Touré
34 S. Blum
5 K. Kraus
32 R. Himmelmann
23 P. Hercher

Coach: F. Funkel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,83
B
2,50
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,91
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.