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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Hamburg

U S U T S

1–0

Full-time

St Pauli

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 53%

48%

58%

Points per game

1,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

61%

55%

Both score Ø 62%

58%

65%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,9

1,8

Conceded

1,4

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

15 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamburg 4. · St Pauli 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	31	18	9	4	+24	63
2	Holstein Kiel	31	19	4	8	+24	61
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	31	16	8	7	+29	56
4	Hamburg	31	15	7	9	+17	52
5	Karlsruhe	31	13	10	8	+17	49
6	Hannover	31	11	13	7	+14	46
7	Paderborn	31	13	7	11	-1	46
8	Hertha	31	12	9	10	+11	45
9	Greuther Furth	31	13	6	12	-1	45
10	Elversberg	31	11	7	13	-10	40
11	Magdeburg	31	9	10	12	-4	37
12	Schalke 04	31	10	7	14	-10	37
13	Nurnberg	31	10	7	14	-19	37
14	Braunschweig	31	10	4	17	-12	34
15	Kaiserslautern	31	9	6	16	-11	33
16	Wehen	31	8	8	15	-11	32
17	Hansa Rostock	31	9	4	18	-24	31
18	Osnabruck	31	5	10	16	-33	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	16	10	5	1	+18	35
2	Karlsruhe	16	9	5	2	+18	32
3	Hamburg	15	10	0	5	+13	30
4	Greuther Furth	15	9	3	3	+11	30
5	Schalke 04	16	8	4	4	+9	28
6	Holstein Kiel	16	9	1	6	+7	28
7	Hertha	16	7	6	3	+19	27
8	Hannover	15	7	6	2	+15	27
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	8	3	4	+8	27
10	Magdeburg	16	6	5	5	+4	23
11	Paderborn	16	6	4	6	+0	22
12	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-1	22
13	Kaiserslautern	15	6	2	7	-3	20
14	Hansa Rostock	15	6	2	7	-5	20
15	Elversberg	15	5	4	6	-4	19
16	Nurnberg	16	5	4	7	-9	19
17	Wehen	15	4	5	6	-5	17
18	Osnabruck	15	3	5	7	-10	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	15	10	3	2	+17	33
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	16	8	5	3	+21	29
3	St Pauli	15	8	4	3	+6	28
4	Paderborn	15	7	3	5	-1	24
5	Hamburg	16	5	7	4	+4	22
6	Elversberg	16	6	3	7	-6	21
7	Hannover	16	4	7	5	-1	19
8	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-8	18
9	Nurnberg	15	5	3	7	-10	18
10	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	-1	17
11	Wehen	16	4	3	9	-6	15
12	Greuther Furth	16	4	3	9	-12	15
13	Magdeburg	15	3	5	7	-8	14
14	Kaiserslautern	16	3	4	9	-8	13
15	Braunschweig	15	4	0	11	-11	12
16	Hansa Rostock	16	3	2	11	-19	11
17	Osnabruck	16	2	5	9	-23	11
18	Schalke 04	15	2	3	10	-19	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.