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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Jablonski
Hertha
S S U U T
5–2
Full-time
Schalke 04
T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,3
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
36%
36%
Points per game
1,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
76%
68%
Both score Ø 62%
68%
56%
Average goals
3,4
3,6
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,6
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–2

43% Possession 57%
17 Shots 12
10 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 7
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 11. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 26 15 9 2 +23 54
2 Holstein Kiel 26 15 4 7 +15 49
3 Fortuna Dusseldorf 26 12 7 7 +22 43
4 Hamburg 25 12 5 8 +10 41
5 Hannover 26 10 10 6 +12 40
6 Paderborn 26 11 6 9 -3 39
7 Greuther Furth 26 11 5 10 -1 38
8 Nurnberg 26 10 6 10 -10 36
9 Karlsruhe 25 9 8 8 +7 35
10 Elversberg 26 10 5 11 -4 35
11 Hertha 25 9 7 9 +4 34
12 Magdeburg 25 8 7 10 +4 31
13 Wehen 25 8 7 10 -1 31
14 Schalke 04 25 9 3 13 -9 30
15 Kaiserslautern 26 8 5 13 -9 29
16 Hansa Rostock 26 8 4 14 -17 28
17 Braunschweig 26 8 3 15 -14 27
18 Osnabruck 26 3 9 14 -29 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Schalke 04
1–0 H. Tabaković
2′
5′
S. Terodde 1–1
2–1 H. Tabaković
F. Reese
13′
26′
S. Terodde 2–2
K. Karaman
3–2 M. Winkler
H. Tabaković
39′
Half-time 3–2
55′
🔁 M. Kamiński
↦ D. Latza
4–2 M. Winkler
F. Reese
56′
62′
🔁 D. Drexler
↦ K. Karaman
62′
🔁 K. Topp
↦ B. Lasme
71′
🔁 A. Ouédraogo
↦ T. Ouwejan
71′
🔁 D. Churlinov
↦ Y. Kabadayı
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ I. Maza
72′
A. Bouchalakis 🔁
↦ J. Dudziak
72′
5–2 F. Niederlechner
F. Reese
75′
79′
🟨 Simon Terodde
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ H. Tabaković
83′
P. Pekarík 🔁
↦ D. Zeefuik
83′
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ M. Winkler
90′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
35 M. Gersbeck G
34 D. Zeefuik D
44 L. Gechter D
31 M. Dárdai D
6 M. Karbownik D
19 J. Dudziak M
41 P. Klemens M
22 M. Winkler M
30 I. Maza M
11 F. Reese M
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (9)
7 F. Niederlechner
5 A. Bouchalakis
9 S. Prevljak
2 P. Pekarík
39 D. Scherhant
18 A. Barkok
20 M. Kempf
37 T. Leistner
43 T. Goller

Coach: P. Dárdai

Schalke 04

4-3-1-2
32 M. Müller G
41 H. Matriciani D
6 R. Schallenberg D
26 T. Kalas D
5 D. Murkin D
17 Y. Kabadayı M
8 D. Latza M
2 T. Ouwejan M
19 K. Karaman M
9 S. Terodde F
11 B. Lasme F
Bench (9)
35 M. Kamiński
24 D. Drexler
42 K. Topp
43 A. Ouédraogo
23 D. Churlinov
29 T. Mohr
1 R. Fährmann
51 S. van der Sloot
18 B. Idrizi

Coach: K. Geraerts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,29
U
3,52
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,63
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Jablonski · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.