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2. Bundesliga

Referee: F Exner

Hamburg

S U S U U

2–0

Full-time

Magdeburg

T U T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Magdeburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

55%

27%

Points per game

1,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

55%

Both score Ø 69%

55%

82%

Average goals

3,2

3,5

Scored

2,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%

16 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 6

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Hamburg 3. · Magdeburg 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	12	7	5	0	+15	26
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	3	3	+10	21
3	Hamburg	11	6	3	2	+9	21
4	Holstein Kiel	12	6	2	4	+0	20
5	Hannover	11	5	3	3	+9	18
6	Greuther Furth	12	5	3	4	+3	18
7	Kaiserslautern	12	5	3	4	+1	18
8	Wehen	12	5	3	4	+1	18
9	Elversberg	12	5	3	4	-1	18
10	Nurnberg	12	5	3	4	-2	18
11	Hertha	11	5	0	6	+2	15
12	Paderborn	11	4	3	4	-3	15
13	Magdeburg	11	3	4	4	+1	13
14	Schalke 04	12	4	1	7	-7	13
15	Karlsruhe	11	3	3	5	-1	12
16	Hansa Rostock	11	4	0	7	-6	12
17	Osnabruck	12	1	4	7	-16	7
18	Braunschweig	11	1	2	8	-15	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	5	0	0	+10	15
2	St Pauli	6	4	2	0	+11	14
3	Greuther Furth	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Kaiserslautern	7	4	1	2	+4	13
5	Nurnberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Hannover	5	3	1	1	+9	10
8	Hertha	5	3	0	2	+8	9
9	Schalke 04	5	3	0	2	+2	9
10	Wehen	6	2	3	1	+0	9
11	Hansa Rostock	6	3	0	3	-1	9
12	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Magdeburg	5	2	2	1	+2	8
14	Paderborn	5	2	2	1	+2	8
15	Holstein Kiel	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Elversberg	6	2	1	3	-4	7
17	Osnabruck	7	1	2	4	-4	5
18	Braunschweig	6	1	2	3	-5	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	6	4	1	1	+3	13
2	St Pauli	6	3	3	0	+4	12
3	Elversberg	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	1	1	+9	10
5	Wehen	6	3	0	3	+1	9
6	Hannover	6	2	2	2	+0	8
7	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	-5	7
8	Paderborn	6	2	1	3	-5	7
9	Hamburg	6	1	3	2	-1	6
10	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-6	6
11	Magdeburg	6	1	2	3	-1	5
12	Kaiserslautern	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Karlsruhe	6	1	1	4	-4	4
15	Schalke 04	7	1	1	5	-9	4
16	Hansa Rostock	5	1	0	4	-5	3
17	Osnabruck	5	0	2	3	-12	2
18	Braunschweig	5	0	0	5	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.