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2. Bundesliga
Referee: P Alt
Karlsruhe
U T U S S
1–0
Full-time
Regensburg
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karlsruhe Regensburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
24%
Points per game
1,2
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
57%
52%
Both score Ø 41%
48%
33%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,6
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karlsruhe 11. · Regensburg 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 21 14 6 1 +20 48
2 Hamburg 21 14 2 5 +15 44
3 Heidenheim 21 11 7 3 +18 40
4 Paderborn 21 12 2 7 +19 38
5 Kaiserslautern 21 9 8 4 +7 35
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 10 2 9 +5 32
7 Holstein Kiel 21 8 7 6 +2 31
8 St Pauli 21 7 8 6 +3 29
9 Hannover 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Greuther Furth 21 6 8 7 -4 26
11 Karlsruhe 21 7 4 10 -1 25
12 Hansa Rostock 21 7 3 11 -10 24
13 Nurnberg 21 6 4 11 -15 22
14 Braunschweig 21 5 6 10 -10 21
15 Magdeburg 21 6 3 12 -14 21
16 Bielefeld 21 6 2 13 -6 20
17 Regensburg 21 5 5 11 -15 20
18 Sandhausen 21 5 4 12 -16 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karlsruhe Regensburg
1–0 M. Kaufmann
M. Wanitzek
24′
45′
🟨 Sarpreet Singh
Half-time 1–0
56′
🟨 Maximilian Thalhammer
Mikkel Kaufmann 🟨
58′
L. Cueto 🔁
↦ P. Nebel
58′
M. Batmaz 🔁
↦ M. Kaufmann
58′
Fabian Schleusener 🟨
61′
66′
🔁 P. Owusu
↦ A. Yildirim
66′
🔁 J. Mees
↦ M. Gouras
67′
🔁 B. Idrizi
↦ M. Thalhammer
78′
🟨 Benedikt Gimber
83′
🟨 Sebastian Nachreiner
S. Rapp 🔁
↦ F. Schleusener
86′
87′
🔁 L. Günther
↦ S. Nachreiner
87′
🔁 B. Saller
↦ K. Faber
92′
🟨 Prince-Osei Owusu
D. Gordon 🔁
↦ M. Wanitzek
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Karlsruhe

4-4-2
35 M. Gersbeck G
2 S. Jung D
15 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Franke D
16 P. Heise D
26 P. Nebel M
8 J. Gondorf M
38 T. Breithaupt M
10 M. Wanitzek M
14 M. Kaufmann F
24 F. Schleusener F
Bench (9)
17 L. Cueto
9 M. Batmaz
7 S. Rapp
3 D. Gordon
6 L. Jensen
18 D. Brosinski
1 K. Eisele
22 C. Kobald
21 M. Thiede

Coach: C. Eichner

Regensburg

4-2-3-1
40 J. Urbig G
11 K. Faber D
28 S. Nachreiner D
33 J. Elvedi D
20 L. Guwara D
8 M. Thalhammer M
5 B. Gimber M
15 S. Singh M
19 A. Albers M
22 M. Gouras M
18 A. Yildirim F
Bench (9)
9 P. Owusu
29 J. Mees
14 B. Idrizi
27 L. Günther
6 B. Saller
7 N. Shipnoski
23 S. Breitkreuz
30 C. Viet
21 T. Kirschbaum

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,71
B
4,36
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,78
U2,5 ✓
2,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Alt · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.