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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Fritz

Greuther Furth

S U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 38%

25%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

60%

Both score Ø 65%

75%

55%

Average goals

2,8

2,9

Scored

1,3

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

14 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

5 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Greuther Furth 11. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	20	13	6	1	+19	45
2	Hamburg	20	13	2	5	+14	41
3	Paderborn	21	12	2	7	+19	38
4	Heidenheim	20	10	7	3	+13	37
5	Kaiserslautern	21	9	8	4	+7	35
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	20	10	2	8	+6	32
7	Holstein Kiel	21	8	7	6	+2	31
8	Hannover	20	8	4	8	+2	28
9	St Pauli	20	6	8	6	+2	26
10	Hansa Rostock	20	7	3	10	-9	24
11	Greuther Furth	20	5	8	7	-5	23
12	Karlsruhe	20	6	4	10	-4	22
13	Nurnberg	20	6	4	10	-10	22
14	Braunschweig	21	5	6	10	-10	21
15	Magdeburg	20	6	3	11	-13	21
16	Bielefeld	20	6	2	12	-5	20
17	Sandhausen	20	5	4	11	-13	19
18	Regensburg	20	5	4	11	-15	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Darmstadt	11	7	4	0	+12	25
2	Paderborn	11	8	0	3	+19	24
3	Heidenheim	10	7	3	0	+13	24
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	7	1	2	+12	22
5	St Pauli	10	5	5	0	+10	20
6	Hamburg	10	6	1	3	+7	19
7	Hannover	10	5	2	3	+3	17
8	Greuther Furth	10	4	5	1	+2	17
9	Kaiserslautern	10	4	4	2	+1	16
10	Holstein Kiel	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Braunschweig	11	4	2	5	+0	14
12	Karlsruhe	11	4	2	5	-1	14
13	Nurnberg	10	4	1	5	-3	13
14	Regensburg	10	3	4	3	-6	13
15	Bielefeld	10	4	0	6	+0	12
16	Sandhausen	9	3	2	4	-4	11
17	Hansa Rostock	10	3	1	6	-5	10
18	Magdeburg	9	2	2	5	-7	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	10	7	1	2	+7	22
2	Darmstadt	9	6	2	1	+7	20
3	Kaiserslautern	11	5	4	2	+6	19
4	Holstein Kiel	11	4	4	3	-2	16
5	Paderborn	10	4	2	4	+0	14
6	Hansa Rostock	10	4	2	4	-4	14
7	Heidenheim	10	3	4	3	+0	13
8	Magdeburg	11	4	1	6	-6	13
9	Hannover	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	3	1	6	-6	10
11	Nurnberg	10	2	3	5	-7	9
12	Karlsruhe	9	2	2	5	-3	8
13	Bielefeld	10	2	2	6	-5	8
14	Sandhausen	11	2	2	7	-9	8
15	Braunschweig	10	1	4	5	-10	7
16	Greuther Furth	10	1	3	6	-7	6
17	St Pauli	10	1	3	6	-8	6
18	Regensburg	10	2	0	8	-9	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.