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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

S U U U S

1–1

Full-time

St Pauli

S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,7

3,0

Scored

2,2

1,8

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

63%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

50%

75%

Average goals

3,4

3,0

Scored

1,8

1,6

Conceded

1,6

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

21 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

8 Corners 2

12 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 7. · St Pauli 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	9	6	2	1	+14	20
2	Stuttgart	9	6	2	1	+6	20
3	Bielefeld	8	4	3	1	+8	15
4	Erzgebirge Aue	9	4	3	2	+1	15
5	Heidenheim	8	3	3	2	+3	12
6	St Pauli	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Nurnberg	8	3	3	2	+1	12
8	Sandhausen	9	3	3	3	+0	12
9	Karlsruhe	9	3	3	3	-2	12
10	Hannover	9	3	2	4	-4	11
11	Greuther Furth	9	3	2	4	-5	11
12	Osnabruck	8	3	1	4	+2	10
13	Dresden	9	2	3	4	-6	9
14	Regensburg	8	2	2	4	+2	8
15	Holstein Kiel	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Darmstadt	9	1	5	3	-4	8
17	Wehen	9	2	1	6	-11	7
18	Bochum	8	0	5	3	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Stuttgart	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Erzgebirge Aue	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	St Pauli	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Sandhausen	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Osnabruck	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Heidenheim	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Karlsruhe	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Dresden	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Darmstadt	4	1	3	0	+2	6
11	Greuther Furth	4	2	0	2	-3	6
12	Bielefeld	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Holstein Kiel	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Nurnberg	4	1	2	1	-3	5
15	Bochum	4	0	4	0	+0	4
16	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Wehen	5	1	0	4	-10	3
18	Hannover	4	0	2	2	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Hannover	5	3	0	2	+2	9
3	Stuttgart	4	2	2	0	+2	8
4	Nurnberg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
5	Hamburg	4	2	1	1	+4	7
6	Heidenheim	4	1	2	1	+1	5
7	Greuther Furth	5	1	2	2	-2	5
8	Karlsruhe	5	1	2	2	-3	5
9	Erzgebirge Aue	5	1	2	2	-4	5
10	Regensburg	4	1	1	2	+3	4
11	Wehen	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Sandhausen	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	St Pauli	4	0	3	1	-1	3
14	Holstein Kiel	4	1	0	3	-3	3
15	Osnabruck	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Dresden	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Darmstadt	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Bochum	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.