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Pro League

Genk

S U T S U

2–1

Full-time

Mouscron

S U S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,3

3,2

Scored

2,2

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 10/9 matches

Win Ø 47%

50%

44%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

70%

44%

Both score Ø 58%

60%

56%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

2,0

1,4

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

12 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 3

1 Corners 4

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Genk 6. · Mouscron 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	10	8	2	0	+24	26
2	Standard	11	7	2	2	+17	23
3	Antwerp	10	6	2	2	+11	20
4	Mechelen	11	5	3	3	+0	18
5	Gent	10	5	2	3	+7	17
6	Genk	10	5	2	3	+7	17
7	Waregem	11	4	5	2	+6	17
8	Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+3	16
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	9	4	4	1	+3	16
10	Charleroi	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	St Truiden	12	3	4	5	-8	13
12	Kortrijk	11	3	2	6	-1	11
13	Anderlecht	12	2	5	5	-4	11
14	Oostende	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Waasland-Beveren	10	1	4	5	-12	7
16	Beveren	10	1	4	5	-12	7
17	Eupen	12	1	4	7	-18	7
18	Cercle Brugge	11	2	0	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Gent	5	5	0	0	+13	15
3	Antwerp	5	4	1	0	+10	13
4	Club Brugge	5	3	2	0	+11	11
5	Mouscron	5	3	2	0	+5	11
6	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	3	2	0	+5	11
7	Waregem	5	3	1	1	+8	10
8	Genk	4	3	0	1	+2	9
9	Kortrijk	5	2	2	1	+5	8
10	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	-1	8
11	St Truiden	7	1	4	2	-1	7
12	Oostende	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Charleroi	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Anderlecht	6	1	3	2	-1	6
15	Cercle Brugge	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Waasland-Beveren	5	1	1	3	-8	4
17	Beveren	5	1	1	3	-8	4
18	Eupen	6	0	3	3	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	5	0	0	+13	15
2	Mechelen	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Charleroi	5	2	2	1	+6	8
4	Genk	6	2	2	2	+5	8
5	Standard	5	2	1	2	+3	7
6	Antwerp	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Waregem	6	1	4	1	-2	7
8	St Truiden	5	2	0	3	-7	6
9	Mouscron	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	1	2	1	-2	5
11	Anderlecht	6	1	2	3	-3	5
12	Oostende	6	1	1	4	-7	4
13	Eupen	6	1	1	4	-11	4
14	Waasland-Beveren	5	0	3	2	-4	3
15	Beveren	5	0	3	2	-4	3
16	Kortrijk	6	1	0	5	-6	3
17	Gent	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Cercle Brugge	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.