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Bundesliga
Referee: O Drachta
4–0
Full-time
St. Polten
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsberger AC St. Polten
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
3,0
0,5
Conceded
0,7
3,2
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-2,7
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 39%
67%
11%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 39%
33%
44%
Average goals
3,7
3,4
Scored
2,6
0,7
Conceded
1,1
2,8
Goal diff per game
+1,4
-2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

62% Possession 38%
14 Shots 7
6 Shots on target 2
6 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 2
3 Offside 5
17 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Wolfsberger AC 4. · St. Polten 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 10 9 1 0 +37 28
2 LASK 9 6 2 1 +11 20
3 SK Rapid 10 6 2 2 +9 20
4 Wolfsberger AC 9 6 1 2 +13 19
5 Sturm Graz 9 5 1 3 +6 16
6 Hartberg 9 3 3 3 -2 12
7 Mattersburg 10 3 1 6 -11 10
8 Tirol 10 2 3 5 -7 9
9 Austria Vienna 9 2 2 5 -7 8
10 Altach 10 2 1 7 -10 7
11 St. Polten 9 1 3 5 -19 6
12 Admira 10 1 2 7 -20 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Wolfsberger AC St. Polten
1–0 Marcel Ritzmaier
Michael Liendl
12′
Dominik Baumgartner 🟨
16′
2–0 Shon Weissman
Alexander Schmidt
38′
Half-time 2–0
Michael Novak 🔁
↦ Dominik Baumgartner
46′
49′
🟨 Noah Steiner
59′
🟨 George Davies
62′
🔁 Robert Ljubicic
↦ Daniel Schutz
64′
🔁 Sandro Ingolitsch
↦ Noah Steiner
3–0 Mario Leitgeb
Michael Liendl
66′
Marc Andre Schmerböck 🔁
↦ Alexander Schmidt
69′
69′
🔁 Issiaka Ouedraogo
↦ Rene Gartler
Christopher Wernitznig 🔁
↦ Romano Schmid
77′
4–0 Shon Weissman
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Wolfsberger AC

4-3-1-2
29 Manuel Kuttin G
22 Dominik Baumgartner D
26 Michael Sollbauer D
4 Manfred Gollner D
7 Lukas Schmitz D
11 Romano Schmid M
16 Mario Leitgeb M
8 Marcel Ritzmaier M
10 Michael Liendl M
13 Alexander Schmidt F
9 Shon Weissman F
Bench (7)
31 Alexander Kofler
15 Nemanja Rnić
27 Michael Novak
19 Sven Sprangler
21 Anderson Niangbo
34 Marc Andre Schmerböck
24 Christopher Wernitznig

Coach: G. Struber

St. Polten

4-3-1-2
1 Christoph Riegler G
18 Martin Rasner D
5 Luca Meisl D
25 Noah Steiner D
11 George Davies D
10 Daniel Luxbacher M
8 Michael Ambichl M
4 Dominik Hofbauer M
20 Daniel Schutz M
14 Husein Balić F
7 Rene Gartler F
Bench (7)
32 Thomas Vollnhofer
22 Sandro Ingolitsch
17 Ahmet Muhamedbegovic
38 Christoph Messerer
90 Lorenz Grabovac
39 Robert Ljubicic
33 Issiaka Ouedraogo

Coach: A. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

O Drachta · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.