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Süper Lig

Referee: A Karaoğlan

Sivasspor

T U U S U

3–1

Full-time

Ankaragücü

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sivasspor Ankaragücü

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,5

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%

11 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sivasspor 9. · Ankaragücü 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	6	4	2	0	+7	14
2	Konyaspor	7	3	3	1	+4	12
3	Fenerbahce	7	3	2	2	+4	11
4	Gaziantep	6	3	2	1	+0	11
5	Antalyaspor	7	3	2	2	+0	11
6	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	3	1	3	+6	10
7	Galatasaray	7	2	4	1	+0	10
8	Trabzonspor	6	2	3	1	+3	9
9	Sivasspor	6	2	3	1	+3	9
10	Goztep	7	2	3	2	+1	9
11	Buyuksehyr	6	2	2	2	+2	8
12	Denizlispor	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Ankaragücü	6	2	2	2	-3	8
14	Rizespor	6	2	2	2	-4	8
15	Kasimpasa	7	2	1	4	-4	7
16	Besiktas	6	1	2	3	-4	5
17	Genclerbirligi	7	0	3	4	-6	3
18	Kayserispor	7	0	3	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	2	1	1	+6	7
2	Fenerbahce	4	2	1	1	+5	7
3	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+5	7
4	Trabzonspor	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Gaziantep	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Sivasspor	3	2	1	0	+4	7
7	Goztep	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Besiktas	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Konyaspor	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Galatasaray	3	1	2	0	+1	5
11	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+4	4
12	Antalyaspor	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	-3	4
16	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
17	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Kayserispor	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
2	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	-1	7
4	Galatasaray	4	1	2	1	-1	5
5	Denizlispor	4	1	2	1	-2	5
6	Ankaragücü	3	1	1	1	+0	4
7	Fenerbahce	3	1	1	1	-1	4
8	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	-2	4
9	Gaziantep	3	1	1	1	-4	4
10	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	-4	4
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Kasimpasa	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Trabzonspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Sivasspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Goztep	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Kayserispor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
17	Genclerbirligi	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Besiktas	3	0	0	3	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.