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Super League
Referee: E Manouhos
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
S S U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 90%
80%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
This season — Super League · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 35%
20%
50%
Points per game
0,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 90%
80%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

44% Possession 56%
6 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 13. · PAOK 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Xanthi 6 5 0 1 +3 15
2 Olympiakos 5 4 1 0 +9 13
3 PAOK 6 3 3 0 +3 12
4 Volos NFC 7 4 0 3 -4 12
5 OFI Crete 6 3 2 1 +5 11
6 Larisa 7 3 2 2 +3 11
7 AEK 6 3 2 1 +3 11
8 Atromitos 6 2 2 2 +1 8
9 Aris 5 1 2 2 +2 5
10 Aris Thessalonikis 5 1 2 2 +2 5
11 Panathinaikos 7 1 2 4 -10 5
12 Panionios 5 1 1 3 -2 4
13 Asteras Tripolis 5 1 0 4 -4 3
14 Lamia 5 0 3 2 -4 3
15 Panetolikos 5 0 0 5 -7 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Asteras Tripolis PAOK
Jeronimo Barrales 🟨
2′
33′
K. Świderski 0–1
Nikolaos Papadopoulos 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–1
47′
Ángel Martínez 1–1
own goal
2–1 Dani Suárez
Adrián Riera
58′
65′
🟨 Diego Biseswar
67′
🔁 Maurício
↦ D. Biseswar
73′
🟨 Omar El Kaddouri
Eneko Jauregi 🔁
↦ J. Munafo
76′
77′
🔁 C. Akpom
↦ K. Świderski
77′
🔁 D. Pelkas
↦ O. El Kaddouri
80′
🟨 Douglas Augusto
Sito 🔁
↦ Adrián Riera
82′
Borja Fernández 🔁
↦ P. Matricardi
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Asteras Tripolis

3-4-3
1 N. Papadopoulos G
33 Ángel Martínez D
37 V. Vlachos
15 Dani Suárez D
34 P. Matricardi D
12 J. Munafo M
7 Marc Fernández F
5 Eneko Capilla M
6 José Luis Valiente M
23 Adrián Riera F
30 J. Barrales F
Bench (7)
19 Eneko Jauregi
40 Sito
8 Borja Fernández
3 C. Tasoulis
14 F. Bellocq
9 A. Douvikas
93 N. Michael

Coach: Borja Jiménez

PAOK

4-2-3-1
88 Ž. Živković G
3 Léo Matos D
15 José Crespo D
5 Fernando Varela D
23 D. Giannoulis D
21 D. Biseswar M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
27 J. Mišić M
33 Douglas M
9 K. Świderski F
18 D. Limnios M
Bench (7)
8 Maurício
47 C. Akpom
10 D. Pelkas
98 Léo Jabá
24 A. Esiti
4 S. Ingason
31 A. Paschalakis

Coach: Abel Ferreira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,26
U
3,65
B ✓
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,01
U2,5
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Manouhos · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
35,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.