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Championship

Referee: J Gillett

QPR

T T S S T

3–2

Full-time

Millwall

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

QPR Millwall

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

Scored

0,8

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Championship · 35/36 matches

Win Ø 33%

34%

31%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

34%

31%

Both score Ø 50%

49%

50%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%

16 Shots 14

8 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match QPR 14. · Millwall 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	36	24	7	5	+27	79
2	Watford	37	21	9	7	+26	72
3	Brentford	34	18	9	7	+25	63
4	Swansea	33	18	8	7	+13	62
5	Reading	36	18	7	11	+12	61
6	Barnsley	34	18	7	9	+10	61
7	Bournemouth	36	16	11	9	+19	59
8	Middlesbrough	37	16	8	13	+8	56
9	Cardiff	37	15	10	12	+17	55
10	Millwall	36	11	16	9	+2	49
11	Stoke	37	12	13	12	-1	49
12	Bristol City	36	15	3	18	-9	48
13	Luton	36	13	8	15	-11	47
14	QPR	35	12	10	13	-5	46
15	Blackburn	36	12	8	16	+8	44
16	Preston	37	13	5	19	-9	44
17	Nott'm Forest	36	10	11	15	-6	41
18	Huddersfield	36	11	8	17	-11	41
19	Derby	37	10	10	17	-14	40
20	Coventry	36	9	11	16	-16	38
21	Birmingham	36	8	11	17	-20	35
22	Sheffield Weds	35	9	7	19	-20	34
23	Rotherham	33	9	5	19	-11	32
24	Wycombe	36	6	8	22	-34	26

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Watford	18	14	2	2	+23	44
2	Norwich	18	12	5	1	+17	41
3	Bournemouth	19	11	3	5	+14	36
4	Swansea	17	10	5	2	+11	35
5	Barnsley	17	10	4	3	+8	34
6	Reading	18	11	0	7	+8	33
7	Middlesbrough	19	10	3	6	+7	33
8	Brentford	15	9	4	2	+15	31
9	Huddersfield	18	8	4	6	+7	28
10	Stoke	18	8	4	6	+4	28
11	Luton	18	7	6	5	+2	27
12	Coventry	18	7	6	5	+0	27
13	Cardiff	19	7	4	8	+11	25
14	QPR	18	7	4	7	-2	25
15	Blackburn	18	6	6	6	+4	24
16	Sheffield Weds	17	6	5	6	+1	23
17	Bristol City	18	7	2	9	-5	23
18	Millwall	18	4	10	4	+1	22
19	Nott'm Forest	18	5	7	6	+0	22
20	Derby	19	5	6	8	-6	21
21	Preston	18	5	4	9	-2	19
22	Wycombe	18	4	5	9	-10	17
23	Rotherham	17	4	3	10	-5	15
24	Birmingham	18	3	3	12	-19	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Norwich	18	12	2	4	+10	38
2	Brentford	19	9	5	5	+10	32
3	Cardiff	18	8	6	4	+6	30
4	Reading	18	7	7	4	+4	28
5	Watford	19	7	7	5	+3	28
6	Barnsley	17	8	3	6	+2	27
7	Swansea	16	8	3	5	+2	27
8	Millwall	18	7	6	5	+1	27
9	Bristol City	18	8	1	9	-4	25
10	Preston	19	8	1	10	-7	25
11	Bournemouth	17	5	8	4	+5	23
12	Middlesbrough	18	6	5	7	+1	23
13	Birmingham	18	5	8	5	-1	23
14	QPR	17	5	6	6	-3	21
15	Stoke	19	4	9	6	-5	21
16	Blackburn	18	6	2	10	+4	20
17	Luton	18	6	2	10	-13	20
18	Nott'm Forest	18	5	4	9	-6	19
19	Derby	18	5	4	9	-8	19
20	Rotherham	16	5	2	9	-6	17
21	Huddersfield	18	3	4	11	-18	13
22	Coventry	18	2	5	11	-16	11
23	Sheffield Weds	18	3	2	13	-21	11
24	Wycombe	18	2	3	13	-24	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.