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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Birmingham
T S U T T
2–1
Full-time
Reading
T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Birmingham Reading
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Championship · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 36%
22%
50%
Points per game
1,0
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
36%
50%
Both score Ø 44%
44%
44%
Average goals
2,0
2,4
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,3
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

33% Possession 67%
13 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 2
3 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Birmingham 21. · Reading 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 37 25 7 5 +29 82
2 Watford 37 21 9 7 +26 72
3 Barnsley 35 19 7 9 +12 64
4 Brentford 34 18 9 7 +25 63
5 Swansea 33 18 8 7 +13 62
6 Reading 36 18 7 11 +12 61
7 Bournemouth 36 16 11 9 +19 59
8 Middlesbrough 37 16 8 13 +8 56
9 Cardiff 37 15 10 12 +17 55
10 Millwall 37 11 16 10 +1 49
11 Stoke 37 12 13 12 -1 49
12 QPR 36 13 10 13 -4 49
13 Bristol City 36 15 3 18 -9 48
14 Luton 36 13 8 15 -11 47
15 Blackburn 36 12 8 16 +8 44
16 Preston 37 13 5 19 -9 44
17 Nott'm Forest 37 10 11 16 -8 41
18 Huddersfield 36 11 8 17 -11 41
19 Derby 37 10 10 17 -14 40
20 Coventry 36 9 11 16 -16 38
21 Birmingham 36 8 11 17 -20 35
22 Sheffield Weds 35 9 7 19 -20 34
23 Rotherham 33 9 5 19 -11 32
24 Wycombe 37 6 8 23 -36 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Birmingham Reading
1–0 L. Jutkiewicz
Jérémie Bela
4′
Maxime Colin 🟨
22′
Gary Gardner 🟨
28′
35′
Y. Meïté 1–1
M. Olise
Half-time 1–1
J. Leko 🔁
↦ Jérémie Bela
63′
I. Šunjić 🔁
↦ G. Gardner
63′
70′
🔁 G. Puşcaş
↦ Y. Meïté
2–1 H. Dean
71′
S. Cosgrove 🔁
↦ L. Jutkiewicz
72′
73′
🔁 O. Ejaria
↦ J. Laurent
77′
🔁 A. Rinomhota
↦ Alfa Semedo
S. Seddon 🔁
↦ A. Halilović
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Birmingham

4-4-2
30 N. Etheridge G
12 H. Dean D
2 M. Colin D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
20 G. Gardner M
11 Jérémie Bela M
35 A. Halilović M
24 R. Harper M
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
9 S. Hogan F
Bench (9)
14 J. Leko
34 I. Šunjić
16 S. Cosgrove
42 S. Seddon
5 G. Friend
19 San José
18 R. McGree
17 Iván Sánchez
1 Andrés Prieto

Coach: L. Bowyer

Reading

4-3-1-2
33 Rafael G
6 L. Moore D
5 T. Mcintyre M
3 O. Richards D
29 T. Holmes D
17 A. Yiadom D
28 J. Laurent M
30 Alfa Semedo M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
11 Y. Meïté F
Bench (9)
47 G. Puşcaş
14 O. Ejaria
8 A. Rinomhota
34 D. Tetek
24 S. Aluko
22 L. Southwood
15 L. Gibson
2 Tomás Esteves
9 S. Baldock

Coach: V. Paunovic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,45
U
3,18
B
2,22
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,42
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.