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Championship

Referee: J Simpson

West Brom

U U T S S

2–0

Full-time

Derby

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Derby

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

This season — Championship · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 45%

51%

39%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

44%

51%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,7

1,4

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%

18 Shots 4

7 Shots on target 0

4 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 0

2 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match West Brom 2. · Derby 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	41	23	9	9	+29	78
2	West Brom	41	21	14	6	+31	77
3	Fulham	40	21	9	10	+13	72
4	Nott'm Forest	42	18	14	10	+12	68
5	Brentford	39	19	9	11	+35	66
6	Cardiff	41	16	15	10	+6	63
7	Derby	41	16	13	12	+3	61
8	Swansea	39	15	15	9	+9	60
9	Blackburn	42	16	11	15	+4	59
10	Millwall	42	14	17	11	+2	59
11	Preston	41	16	10	15	+2	58
12	Bristol City	41	15	10	16	-7	55
13	Reading	42	14	11	17	+5	53
14	QPR	41	15	8	18	-6	53
15	Sheffield Weds	41	14	10	17	-6	52
16	Wigan	41	13	11	17	-8	50
17	Birmingham	41	12	13	16	-13	49
18	Middlesbrough	42	11	14	17	-11	47
19	Huddersfield	42	12	11	19	-14	47
20	Stoke	41	13	7	21	-7	46
21	Charlton	42	12	10	20	-10	46
22	Hull	41	12	9	20	-16	45
23	Barnsley	42	10	12	20	-21	42
24	Luton	42	11	8	23	-32	41

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Derby	21	11	8	2	+16	41
2	Leeds	20	12	5	3	+16	41
3	Fulham	21	13	2	6	+10	41
4	Brentford	19	11	5	3	+23	38
5	Preston	21	11	3	7	+8	36
6	West Brom	20	9	8	3	+15	35
7	Cardiff	20	9	8	3	+10	35
8	Blackburn	21	9	8	4	+8	35
9	Nott'm Forest	21	10	4	7	+3	34
10	Swansea	20	9	5	6	+7	32
11	Millwall	21	8	8	5	+4	32
12	Stoke	21	9	3	9	+7	30
13	Wigan	20	8	6	6	+1	30
14	QPR	21	8	5	8	+2	29
15	Charlton	21	8	5	8	+2	29
16	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	-3	27
17	Luton	21	7	6	8	-5	27
18	Sheffield Weds	20	7	6	7	-8	27
19	Bristol City	20	7	5	8	-4	26
20	Barnsley	21	6	8	7	-5	26
21	Middlesbrough	21	6	8	7	-5	26
22	Reading	21	7	4	10	-4	25
23	Birmingham	20	6	6	8	-5	24
24	Hull	21	7	3	11	-6	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Leeds	21	11	4	6	+13	37
3	Nott'm Forest	21	8	10	3	+9	34
4	Fulham	19	8	7	4	+3	31
5	Bristol City	21	8	5	8	-3	29
6	Brentford	20	8	4	8	+12	28
7	Reading	21	7	7	7	+9	28
8	Swansea	19	6	10	3	+2	28
9	Cardiff	21	7	7	7	-4	28
10	Millwall	21	6	9	6	-2	27
11	Sheffield Weds	21	7	4	10	+2	25
12	Birmingham	21	6	7	8	-8	25
13	Blackburn	21	7	3	11	-4	24
14	QPR	20	7	3	10	-8	24
15	Preston	20	5	7	8	-6	22
16	Middlesbrough	21	5	6	10	-6	21
17	Hull	20	5	6	9	-10	21
18	Wigan	21	5	5	11	-9	20
19	Huddersfield	21	5	5	11	-11	20
20	Derby	20	5	5	10	-13	20
21	Charlton	21	4	5	12	-12	17
22	Stoke	20	4	4	12	-14	16
23	Barnsley	21	4	4	13	-16	16
24	Luton	21	4	2	15	-27	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.