Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Aris
Olympiakos
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–2
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Olympiakos
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 | +57 | 91 |
| 2 |
PAOK
|
35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | +28 | 71 |
| 3 |
AEK
|
36 | 20 | 10 | 6 | +30 | 70 |
| 4 |
Panathinaikos
|
35 | 14 | 13 | 8 | +9 | 55 |
| 5 |
Atromitos
|
33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -2 | 42 |
| 6 |
Asteras Tripolis
|
33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | +0 | 40 |
| 7 |
OFI Crete
|
35 | 11 | 7 | 17 | -7 | 40 |
| 8 |
Aris Thessalonikis
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 9 |
Aris
|
32 | 9 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 38 |
| 10 |
Larisa
|
33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | -9 | 38 |
| 11 |
Lamia
|
33 | 6 | 17 | 10 | -13 | 35 |
| 12 |
Xanthi
|
33 | 9 | 8 | 16 | -14 | 35 |
| 13 |
Volos NFC
|
33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | -28 | 34 |
| 14 |
Panionios
|
33 | 7 | 8 | 18 | -28 | 29 |
| 15 |
Panetolikos
|
33 | 5 | 11 | 17 | -21 | 26 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Aris
AEK
Panathinaikos
Aris
Aris
PAOK
AEK
Aris
Olympiakos
Aris
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.