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Süper Lig
Referee: M Kalkavan
Alanyaspor
S T U U S
4–1
Full-time
Galatasaray
U T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,7
This season — Süper Lig · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 45%
43%
47%
Points per game
1,6
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
47%
47%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
47%
Average goals
2,9
2,6
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

32% Possession 68%
13 Shots 21
6 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 10
3 Offside 3
7 Free kicks against 6
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 7. · Galatasaray 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Buyuksehyr 31 19 9 3 +32 66
2 Trabzonspor 31 17 11 3 +35 62
3 Sivasspor 31 15 9 7 +16 54
4 Galatasaray 30 14 10 6 +20 52
5 Fenerbahce 31 14 8 9 +13 50
6 Besiktas 30 15 5 10 +12 50
7 Alanyaspor 30 13 9 8 +20 48
8 Goztep 30 10 8 12 -3 38
9 Gaziantep 30 9 11 10 -4 38
10 Antalyaspor 31 9 11 11 -13 38
11 Kasimpasa 30 10 6 14 -7 36
12 Genclerbirligi 31 8 9 14 -14 33
13 Yeni Malatyaspor 31 8 8 15 -2 32
14 Denizlispor 31 8 8 15 -16 32
15 Kayserispor 30 8 7 15 -29 31
16 Konyaspor 30 6 12 12 -15 30
17 Rizespor 30 8 5 17 -19 29
18 Ankaragücü 30 5 10 15 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Galatasaray
1–0 P. Cissé
E. Karaca
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 P. Cissé
48′
49′
A. Büyük 2–1
Y. Belhanda
E. Siopis 🔁
↦ S. Uçan
57′
J. Fernándes 🔁
↦ O. Bulut
58′
E. Altıntaş 🔁
↦ E. Karaca
71′
C. Gulselam 🟨
77′
80′
🔁 J. Durmaz
↦ Ö. Bayram
80′
🔁 Ş. Özbayraklı
↦ Mariano
M. Pektemek 🔁
↦ P. Cissé
88′
3–1 A. Bakasetas
J. Fernándes
89′
91′
🟨 Y. Belhanda
4–1 M. Pektemek
Juanfran
95′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
28 Marafona G
31 G. Tzavellas D
21 F. N'Sakala D
44 S. Caulker D
24 Juanfran D
7 E. Karaca M
6 C. Gülselam M
8 S. Uçan M
25 O. Bulut M
9 P. Cissé F
11 A. Bakasetas M
Bench (10)
26 E. Siopis
10 J. Fernándes
77 E. Altıntaş
19 M. Pektemek
27 U. Güneş
12 C. Gönen
35 M. Çağıran
17 K. Kanak
53 L. Gör
14 Baiano

Coach: E. Bulut

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
34 O. Kocuk G
22 Mariano D
19 Ö. Bayram M
14 M. Linnes D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
15 R. Donk D
10 Y. Belhanda M
6 J. Seri M
48 T. Antalyalı M
20 E. Akbaba M
7 A. Büyük F
Bench (8)
21 J. Durmaz
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
28 J. Sekidika
5 A. Çalık
17 Y. Akgün
51 B. Balaban
40 E. Bayram
8 S. İnan

Coach: F. Terim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,50
B
2,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Kalkavan · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.