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LaLiga2

Ponferradina

S U T T T

0–1

Full-time

Lugo

T U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ponferradina Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 38/38 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

37%

39%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

53%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,1

0,9

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 1

7 Corners 3

19 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ponferradina 15. · Lugo 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	39	19	12	8	+14	69
2	Zaragoza	38	17	10	11	+10	61
3	Huesca	38	18	7	13	+9	61
4	Almeria	38	16	12	10	+20	60
5	Girona	38	15	11	12	+5	56
6	Elche	39	14	13	12	+7	55
7	Fuenlabrada	39	13	15	11	+5	54
8	Vallecano	38	11	20	7	+9	53
9	Tenerife	38	14	11	13	+6	53
10	Alcorcon	38	12	17	9	+3	53
11	Mirandes	39	12	17	10	-3	53
12	Sp Gijon	38	13	11	14	+4	50
13	Las Palmas	39	12	14	13	-2	50
14	Malaga	39	10	19	10	+1	49
15	Ponferradina	38	11	15	12	-3	48
16	La Coruna	39	11	15	13	-16	48
17	Oviedo	39	11	14	14	-6	47
18	Albacete	38	11	12	15	-12	45
19	Numancia	38	11	11	16	-6	44
20	Lugo	38	9	15	14	-14	42
21	Extremadura UD	39	8	13	18	-15	37
22	Santander	39	4	18	17	-16	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Huesca	19	13	3	3	+15	42
2	Girona	19	12	5	2	+14	41
3	Cadiz	19	10	6	3	+10	36
4	Ponferradina	19	8	9	2	+9	33
5	Sp Gijon	19	9	5	5	+11	32
6	Numancia	19	9	5	5	+8	32
7	Vallecano	19	8	8	3	+7	32
8	Mirandes	20	7	11	2	+7	32
9	Fuenlabrada	20	8	8	4	+6	32
10	Almeria	19	9	3	7	+10	30
11	Malaga	20	7	9	4	+5	30
12	Tenerife	19	7	8	4	+5	29
13	Oviedo	20	6	11	3	+3	29
14	La Coruna	19	7	8	4	+0	29
15	Las Palmas	19	7	7	5	+5	28
16	Zaragoza	19	8	4	7	+4	28
17	Elche	19	6	8	5	+4	26
18	Lugo	19	6	7	6	-6	25
19	Albacete	19	4	8	7	-6	20
20	Alcorcon	19	5	5	9	-7	20
21	Extremadura UD	20	5	4	11	-7	19
22	Santander	19	2	9	8	-4	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcorcon	19	7	12	0	+10	33
2	Zaragoza	19	9	6	4	+6	33
3	Cadiz	20	9	6	5	+4	33
4	Almeria	19	7	9	3	+10	30
5	Elche	20	8	5	7	+3	29
6	Albacete	19	7	4	8	-6	25
7	Tenerife	19	7	3	9	+1	24
8	Fuenlabrada	19	5	7	7	-1	22
9	Las Palmas	20	5	7	8	-7	22
10	Vallecano	19	3	12	4	+2	21
11	Mirandes	19	5	6	8	-10	21
12	Malaga	19	3	10	6	-4	19
13	Huesca	19	5	4	10	-6	19
14	La Coruna	20	4	7	9	-16	19
15	Sp Gijon	19	4	6	9	-7	18
16	Extremadura UD	19	3	9	7	-8	18
17	Oviedo	19	5	3	11	-9	18
18	Lugo	19	3	8	8	-8	17
19	Girona	19	3	6	10	-9	15
20	Ponferradina	19	3	6	10	-12	15
21	Santander	20	2	9	9	-12	15
22	Numancia	19	2	6	11	-14	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.