La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 2–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Real Madrid
|
34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | +41 | 77 |
| 2 |
Barcelona
|
34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | +42 | 73 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
35 | 16 | 15 | 4 | +21 | 63 |
| 4 |
Sevilla
|
34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | +16 | 60 |
| 5 |
Villarreal
|
34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | +10 | 54 |
| 6 |
Getafe
|
34 | 14 | 11 | 9 | +11 | 53 |
| 7 |
Sociedad
|
34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | +8 | 51 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
35 | 13 | 11 | 11 | -6 | 50 |
| 9 |
Ath Bilbao
|
34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | +9 | 48 |
| 10 |
Granada
|
34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | +2 | 47 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | -7 | 45 |
| 12 |
Levante
|
34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | -5 | 43 |
| 13 |
Valladolid
|
35 | 8 | 15 | 12 | -10 | 39 |
| 14 |
Betis
|
34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -11 | 38 |
| 15 |
Celta
|
35 | 7 | 15 | 13 | -10 | 36 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -17 | 35 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | -19 | 35 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | -24 | 29 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -24 | 28 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
34 | 5 | 9 | 20 | -27 | 24 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Dani Martín
G
Aïssa Mandi
D
Álex Moreno
D
Guido Rodríguez
M
Alfonso Pedraza
M
Borja Iglesias
F
Coach: Rubí
Sergio Herrera
G
Nacho Vidal
D
Toni Lato
D
Kike Barja
M
Jon Moncayola
M
José Manuel Arnáiz
F
Coach: Arrasate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Celta
Betis
Betis
Villarreal
Levante
Betis
Betis
Espanol
Ath Bilbao
Betis
Alejandro Hernández · 223 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.