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Championship
Referee: A Woolmer
Swansea
U S U S S
3–0
Full-time
Birmingham
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Birmingham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
3,0
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
75%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 50%
75%
25%
Average goals
3,0
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

73% Possession 27%
12 Shots 4
6 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
8 Free kicks against 13
1 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 3. · Birmingham 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Leeds 5 4 1 0 +8 13
2 Charlton 5 3 2 0 +4 11
3 Swansea 4 3 1 0 +4 10
4 Bristol City 5 3 1 1 +3 10
5 Fulham 5 3 0 2 +5 9
6 Preston 5 3 0 2 +4 9
7 Sheffield Weds 5 3 0 2 +3 9
8 West Brom 5 2 3 0 +2 9
9 Nott'm Forest 5 2 2 1 +3 8
10 Millwall 5 2 2 1 -2 8
11 Reading 5 2 1 2 +2 7
12 Birmingham 4 2 1 1 +0 7
13 QPR 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Blackburn 5 2 1 2 -1 7
15 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 -2 7
16 Derby 5 1 3 1 +0 6
17 Middlesbrough 5 1 2 2 -1 5
18 Luton 5 1 1 3 -1 4
19 Brentford 5 1 1 3 -2 4
20 Hull 5 1 1 3 -3 4
21 Barnsley 5 1 1 3 -5 4
22 Wigan 5 1 0 4 -7 3
23 Huddersfield 5 0 1 4 -5 1
24 Stoke 5 0 1 4 -8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Birmingham
Half-time 0–0
K. Naughton 🔁
↦ J. Bidwell
46′
49′
🟨 David Davis
57′
🔁 G. Gardner
↦ Álvaro Giménez
60′
🟨 Kristian Pedersen
1–0 K. Naughton
63′
2–0 B. Celina
M. van der Hoorn
68′
73′
🟨 Steve Seddon
3–0 Borja Bastón
75′
76′
🔁 J. Bellingham
↦ D. Davis
76′
🔁 D. Crowley
↦ S. Seddon
Yan Dhanda 🟨
82′
J. Garrick 🔁
↦ B. Celina
84′
G. Byers 🔁
↦ Y. Dhanda
84′
89′
🟨 Ivan Šunjić
90′
🟨 Jude Bellingham
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
27 F. Woodman G
24 J. Bidwell D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
4 J. Rodon D
6 J. Fulton M
8 M. Grimes M
23 C. Roberts D
22 A. Ayew M
9 Borja Bastón F
10 B. Celina M
21 Y. Dhanda M
Bench (7)
26 K. Naughton
41 J. Garrick
28 G. Byers
1 K. Nordfeldt
19 S. Surridge
15 W. Routledge
20 B. Wilmot

Coach: S. Cooper

Birmingham

5-3-2
1 L. Camp G
12 H. Dean D
4 M. Roberts D
3 K. Pedersen D
2 W. Harding D
42 S. Seddon D
26 D. Davis M
34 I. Šunjić M
17 Fran Villalba
10 L. Jutkiewicz F
24 Álvaro Giménez F
Bench (7)
20 G. Gardner
22 J. Bellingham
7 D. Crowley
21 Agus Medina
37 O. Bailey
13 D. Stockdale
8 C. Gardner

Coach: Josep Clotet Ruiz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,91
U
3,47
B
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,78
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Woolmer · 88 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.