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Championship
Referee: Andy Davies
Swansea
T T S S U
2–2
Full-time
Leeds
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Leeds
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,5
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Championship · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 84%
67%
100%
Points per game
2,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
0,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

44% Possession 56%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 4
13 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Swansea 6. · Leeds 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Middlesbrough 4 3 1 0 +6 10
2 West Brom 4 2 1 1 +6 7
3 Brentford 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Aston Villa 3 2 1 0 +3 7
5 Bolton 3 2 1 0 +2 7
6 Swansea 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Leeds 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 Nott'm Forest 4 1 3 0 +1 6
9 Sheffield United 4 2 0 2 -2 6
10 Millwall 3 1 2 0 +1 5
11 Blackburn 3 1 2 0 +1 5
12 Wigan 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Preston 3 1 1 1 +0 4
14 Derby 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Rotherham 3 1 0 2 -5 3
16 Ipswich 3 0 2 1 -1 2
17 Birmingham 3 0 2 1 -1 2
18 Stoke 3 0 2 1 -2 2
19 Bristol City 3 0 2 1 -2 2
20 Norwich 3 0 1 2 -2 1
21 Sheffield Weds 3 0 1 2 -3 1
22 Hull 3 0 1 2 -3 1
23 Reading 3 0 0 3 -3 0
24 QPR 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Swansea Leeds
13′
🟨 Kalvin Phillips
1–0 O. McBurnie
B. Celina
24′
27′
🟨 Kemar Roofe
28′
🔁 L. Baker
↦ K. Phillips
37′
🟨 Lewis Baker
40′
K. Roofe 1–1
J. Shackleton
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Harrison
↦ E. Alioski
2–1 O. McBurnie
Martin Olsson
51′
J. Montero 🔁
↦ B. McKay
64′
64′
🔁 P. Bamford
↦ K. Roofe
T. Carroll 🔁
↦ L. Fer
74′
79′
Pablo Hernández 2–2
P. Bamford
J. Asoro 🔁
↦ Martin Olsson
83′
89′
🟨 Samu Sáiz
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Swansea

4-2-3-1
25 E. Mulder G
3 Martin Olsson D
26 K. Naughton D
5 M. van der Hoorn D
22 J. Rodon D
8 L. Fer M
27 J. Fulton M
23 C. Roberts M
10 B. Celina M
19 B. McKay M
9 O. McBurnie F
Bench (7)
7 J. Montero
14 T. Carroll
16 J. Asoro
13 S. Benda
20 D. James
21 M. Grimes
30 Y. Dhanda

Coach: G. Potter

Leeds

4-1-4-1
1 B. Peacock-Farrell G
28 G. Berardi D
3 B. Douglas M
2 L. Ayling D
19 Pablo Hernández M
43 M. Klich M
14 Samuel Sáiz M
7 K. Roofe F
23 K. Phillips M
46 J. Shackleton M
10 E. Alioski M
Bench (7)
34 L. Baker
22 J. Harrison
9 P. Bamford
20 T. Pearce
27 J. Blackman
35 C. Shaughnessy
49 Oriol Rey

Coach: M. Bielsa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Andy Davies · 87 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.