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Eliteserien

Referee: Svein Tore Sinnes

Lillestrom

T S T T S

2–1

Full-time

KFUM Oslo

T T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom KFUM Oslo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 42%

58%

25%

Points per game

1,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

42%

50%

Both score Ø 38%

33%

42%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,6

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,42 xG 0,33

54% Possession 46%

6 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

1 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 4. · KFUM Oslo 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	+20	+18.2	29
3	Viking	11	9	0	2	+18	+10.7	27
4	Lillestrom	12	7	1	4	+8	+4.6	22
5	Molde	12	6	2	4	+5	+2.1	20
6	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	-2	-2.1	18
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	5	2	5	-2	+1.0	17
8	Valerenga	13	5	2	6	-3	-3.3	17
9	Brann	13	5	1	7	+5	+1.7	16
10	Sandefjord	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.8	15
11	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.5	14
12	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.8	12
13	KFUM Oslo	12	3	3	6	-7	-4.3	12
14	Aalesund	13	2	6	5	-10	-9.6	12
15	Kristiansund	12	3	2	7	-10	-7.0	11
16	Start	13	1	4	8	-16	-6.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	0	1	+15	+15.2	15
4	Molde	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.0	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+6	-0.6	13
7	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
8	Sarpsborg 08	6	3	2	1	+2	+2.0	11
9	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
10	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+0	-2.1	10
11	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
12	Brann	6	3	0	3	+1	+3.8	9
13	Sandefjord	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.6	9
14	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
15	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
16	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+5	+3.1	14
2	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
3	Viking	6	4	0	2	+3	+6.3	12
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
7	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-4	-1.2	6
8	Molde	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
9	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
10	Fredrikstad	7	1	1	5	-9	-6.9	4
11	Valerenga	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.7	4
12	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
13	Ham-Kam	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.7	3
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
15	Rosenborg	5	0	1	4	-9	-6.1	1
16	Start	8	0	1	7	-15	-7.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.