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Eliteserien
Referee: Tore Hansen
Brann
S S U T S
3–2
Full-time
Rosenborg
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Rosenborg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
3,7
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 15/14 matches
Win Ø 38%
40%
36%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
87%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
87%
29%
Average goals
3,7
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,76 xG 1,94
52% Possession 48%
11 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 12
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 9. · Rosenborg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 16 12 2 2 +30 +24.8 38
2 Viking 15 12 1 2 +23 +12.7 37
3 Tromso 16 10 4 2 +15 +8.1 34
4 Lillestrom 15 8 1 6 +4 +3.6 25
5 Molde 15 7 3 5 +6 +7.3 24
6 Sarpsborg 08 15 6 4 5 -1 +0.6 22
7 Ham-Kam 15 6 3 6 -3 -3.5 21
8 Valerenga 15 6 2 7 -5 -3.6 20
9 Brann 15 6 1 8 +5 +0.8 19
10 Rosenborg 14 5 3 6 +1 -0.0 18
11 Fredrikstad 15 5 2 8 -11 -10.0 17
12 Sandefjord 15 4 3 8 -8 -7.7 15
13 KFUM Oslo 15 4 3 8 -9 -9.7 15
14 Aalesund 15 2 7 6 -14 -9.3 13
15 Kristiansund 15 3 3 9 -12 -8.3 12
16 Start 16 2 4 10 -21 -5.8 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Rosenborg
2′
🟨 Emil Konradsen Ceide
1–0 N. Castro
N. Wassberg
14′
Half-time 1–0
59′
🟨 Amin Chiakha
61′
ℹ️ Jonas Svensson
VAR: Penalty confirmed
62′
A. Chiakha 1–1
67′
I. Fossum 1–2
J. Svensson
Niklas Jensen Wassberg 🟨
68′
Thore Pedersen 🟨
68′
68′
🔁 J. Reitan-Sunde
↦ D. Duris
68′
🔁 A. F. Witry
↦ J. Svensson
K. M. Ingason 🔁
↦ E. Gudmundsson
69′
K. Eriksen 🔁
↦ N. Wassberg
69′
73′
🔁 J. Bakke
↦ I. Fossum
2–2 K. M. Ingason
K. Eriksen
75′
Niklas Castro 🟨
78′
78′
🟨 Adrian Nilsen Pereira
85′
🔁 J. Mortensen
↦ O. Selnaes
85′
🔁 H. Volden
↦ A. Pereira
3–2 K. Eriksen
J. Soltvedt
90′
S. Magnusson 🔁
↦ N. Castro
95′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
21 D. De Roeve D
3 F. Knudsen D
23 T. Pedersen D
17 J. Soltvedt D
25 N. Wassberg M
18 J. Sorensen M
8 F. Myhre M
19 E. Gudmundsson F
29 N. Holm F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
12 S. Nilsen
20 V. Dragsnes
10 K. M. Ingason
6 D. Mbacke
11 B. Finne
16 K. Eriksen
22 S. Magnusson
32 M. Haaland
43 B. Haugen

Coach: Eirik Horneland

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 L. Wahlstedt G
22 J. Svensson D
4 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
19 A. Pereira D
17 M. Bomholt M
10 O. Selnaes M
8 I. Fossum M
29 D. Duris F
18 A. Chiakha F
35 E. K. Ceide F
Bench (9)
12 R. Sandberg
15 J. Mortensen
14 J. Reitan-Sunde
30 M. Soboczynski
16 A. F. Witry
25 J. Bakke
11 N. Sahsah
3 T. Dahl
5 H. Volden

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Tore Hansen · 217 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.