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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Rosenborg

T U S T S

4–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

3,7

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 36%

39%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

67%

72%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

61%

Average goals

3,1

3,2

Scored

1,4

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,50 xG 0,77

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 2

0 Offside 2

12 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 8. · Lillestrom 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	19	12	5	2	+25	+13.9	41
2	Brann	19	10	6	3	+10	+10.5	36
3	Viking	19	9	6	4	+9	+6.2	33
4	Molde	18	9	4	5	+13	+11.9	31
5	Fredrikstad	19	8	7	4	+5	+3.4	31
6	KFUM Oslo	19	6	8	5	+0	+6.0	26
7	Ham-Kam	19	6	6	7	+2	-1.9	24
8	Rosenborg	18	7	3	8	-6	-2.3	24
9	Stromsgodset	19	6	5	8	-6	-1.7	23
10	Sarpsborg 08	19	6	5	8	-7	-5.5	23
11	Kristiansund	17	5	6	6	-2	-8.0	21
12	Tromso	19	6	3	10	-6	-9.5	21
13	Lillestrom	18	6	2	10	-9	-5.5	20
14	Haugesund	19	5	3	11	-10	-5.5	18
15	Odd	19	4	6	9	-13	-11.3	18
16	Sandefjord	18	4	5	9	-5	-0.8	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	6	3	0	+14	+7.0	21
2	Viking	10	6	3	1	+7	+3.1	21
3	Rosenborg	9	6	1	2	+3	+2.7	19
4	Brann	9	5	2	2	+4	+9.9	17
5	Kristiansund	8	4	3	1	+4	+2.7	15
6	Molde	9	4	2	3	+6	+8.9	14
7	Fredrikstad	10	3	5	2	-1	+4.1	14
8	Sandefjord	9	4	1	4	+1	+1.3	13
9	Stromsgodset	9	3	3	3	+1	+3.5	12
10	Sarpsborg 08	10	3	2	5	-7	-1.3	11
11	Tromso	10	3	1	6	-2	-0.6	10
12	Odd	10	2	4	4	-5	-2.7	10
13	Ham-Kam	9	2	3	4	-2	-1.8	9
14	Haugesund	9	3	0	6	-5	-0.9	9
15	KFUM Oslo	10	1	5	4	-6	+7.0	8
16	Lillestrom	9	2	2	5	-9	-4.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	10	6	2	2	+11	+6.8	20
2	Brann	10	5	4	1	+6	+0.6	19
3	KFUM Oslo	9	5	3	1	+6	-1.0	18
4	Molde	9	5	2	2	+7	+2.9	17
5	Fredrikstad	9	5	2	2	+6	-0.7	17
6	Ham-Kam	10	4	3	3	+4	-0.1	15
7	Viking	9	3	3	3	+2	+3.1	12
8	Sarpsborg 08	9	3	3	3	+0	-4.2	12
9	Lillestrom	9	4	0	5	+0	-1.0	12
10	Tromso	9	3	2	4	-4	-8.9	11
11	Stromsgodset	10	3	2	5	-7	-5.2	11
12	Haugesund	10	2	3	5	-5	-4.6	9
13	Odd	9	2	2	5	-8	-8.6	8
14	Kristiansund	9	1	3	5	-6	-10.6	6
15	Rosenborg	9	1	2	6	-9	-5.0	5
16	Sandefjord	9	0	4	5	-6	-2.2	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.