NM-cupen
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Viking
Aalesund
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Aalesund
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 2 |
Lillestrom
|
4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 3 |
Tromsdalen Uil
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 9 |
| 4 |
Bjarg
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 9 |
| 5 |
Egersund
|
4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 9 |
| 6 |
Kjelsås
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 7 |
| 7 |
Kongsvinger
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +6 | 6 |
| 8 |
Brann
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 9 |
Viking
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 6 |
| 10 |
Levanger
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 11 |
Sandnes ULF
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lysekloster
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 6 |
| 13 |
Mjondalen
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 14 |
Stabaek
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 15 |
Lyn
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 16 |
Bryne
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 17 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 18 |
KFUM Oslo
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 19 |
Fredrikstad
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 6 |
| 20 |
Eik-Tønsberg
|
3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 6 |
| 21 |
hodd
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 22 |
Strommen
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 23 |
Brattvåg
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 24 |
Odd
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +0 | 4 |
| 25 |
Follo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 26 |
Ham-Kam
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 27 |
Hønefoss
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 28 |
Vard
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 29 |
Rosenborg
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
Arendal
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 31 |
Stjørdals-Blink
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 32 |
Asker
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 33 |
Tromso
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 34 |
Start
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 35 |
Moss
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 36 |
Trygg/Lade
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 3 |
| 37 |
Ulfstind
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 38 |
Junkeren
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 39 |
Gamle Oslo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 40 |
Asane
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 41 |
Stromsgodset
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 42 |
Sotra
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 43 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 44 |
Molde
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 45 |
Djerv
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 46 |
Alta
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 47 |
Jerv
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 48 |
Strindheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 49 |
Gneist
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 50 |
Kristiansund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 51 |
Valerenga
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 52 |
Ranheim
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 53 |
Flekkerøy
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 54 |
Eidsvold
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 55 |
Madla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 56 |
Råde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 57 |
Flint
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 58 |
Grorud
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 59 |
Spjelkavik
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 60 |
Rana
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 61 |
Pors Grenland
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 62 |
Nordstrand
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 63 |
Ull/Kisa
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 64 |
Sogndal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 65 |
Førde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 66 |
Haugesund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 67 |
Træff
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 68 |
Lørenskog
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 69 |
Vidar
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 70 |
Skeid
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 71 |
Raufoss
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 72 |
Sandviken
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 73 |
Vigør
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 74 |
Notodden
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 75 |
Brumunddal
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 76 |
Vestfossen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 77 |
Sandefjord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 78 |
Bærum
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 79 |
Nardo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 | 0 |
| 80 |
Finnsnes
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
L. Belko
S. Bjorshol
A. Baertelsen
H. Falchener
V. Auklend
K. Askildsen
T. Moi
S. Kvia-Egeskog
N. Fuglestad
H. Mikaelsson
O. Visted
Coach: Bjarte Aarsheim
T. Larsen
U. Syversen
S. Haram
M. Andresen
M. Christensen
H. Melland
K. Nesso
K. Lonebu
D. Johannsson
Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ham-Kam
Viking
Bjarg
Viking
Viking
Valerenga
Fredrikstad
Viking
Viking
Ham-Kam
O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.